Serie A
Coritiba - Atlético Mineiro
04/19/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.4
1.2
1:1
15%0:0
11%0:1
9%1:0
9%1:2
8%xG 分解
Coritiba
Atlético Mineiro
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
34%
平局
31%
客胜
35%
进球数
Over 1.5
71%
Under 1.5
29%
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
23%
Under 3.5
77%
双重机会
主胜或平局
65%
客胜或平局
66%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
51%
否
49%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a very close match with an away win probability of 35% for Atlético Mineiro and 34% for Coritiba
- Atlético Mineiro shows a positive form trend with more frequent goal production recently (1.4 goals) compared to their season average (1.3 goals), while Coritiba's goal production stagnates (1.0 goals) compared to their season average (1.2 goals)
- Coritiba has been counter-oriented in their last 5 games with an average of 3.6 shots on target, whereas Atlético Mineiro averages 5.0 shots on target
风险因素
- The lack of head-to-head data makes it difficult to assess the historical matchup
- The very close win and draw probabilities (34% home win, 31% draw, 35% away win) indicate high uncertainty for all match outcomes
概述
Coritiba (8th place, 16 points) host Atlético Mineiro (11th place, 14 points) in Serie A
The match takes place on April 19, 2026, 9:00 PM
Both teams are in the mid-table and aim to improve their position
近期状态
Coritiba shows a form of WLDDD across all competitions
In the last five games, the home team recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss
Most recently, there were three consecutive draws
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Atlético Mineiro displays a form of WLWWL
The away team achieved 3 wins and 2 losses in their last five games
After two consecutive wins, they recently suffered a loss
统计数据
Coritiba scores an average of 1.18 goals and concedes 1.09 goals per game this season
At home, the average is 1.0 goals scored and 1.33 goals conceded
Atlético Mineiro scores an average of 1.27 goals and concedes 1.18 goals per game
Away from home, the team scores 1.25 goals and concedes 1.75 goals per away game
Both teams scored in 5 of Coritiba's 11 games and in 4 of Atlético Mineiro's 11 games
Over 2.5 goals occurred in 3 of Coritiba's 11 games and in 5 of Atlético Mineiro's 11 games
历史交锋
The provided dataset does not list any historical head-to-head matches between Coritiba and Atlético Mineiro
关键球员
For Coritiba, Breno Lopes (4 goals, 1 assist, 7.03 season rating), Josué (4 assists, 6.95 season rating), and Lucas Ronier (1 goal, 2 assists, 7.09 season rating) are key players
Breno Lopes scored 1 goal in 3 of 5 games
Josué provided 1 assist in 4 of 5 games
For Atlético Mineiro, Hulk (1 goal, 3 assists, 6.94 season rating), Victor Hugo (3 goals, 1 assist, 7.08 season rating), and Tomás Cuello (2 goals, 1 assist, 6.94 season rating) stand out
Hulk provided 1 assist in 5 of 5 games
Victor Hugo scored 1 goal in 5 of 5 games
Tomás Cuello contributed 1 goal and 1 assist in 5 of 5 games
门将
Pedro Rangel of Coritiba played 8 season games with 3 clean sheets
Everson of Atlético Mineiro made 11 season appearances and kept 3 clean sheets
影响因素
Coritiba scores an average of 1.0 goals at home and concedes 1.33 goals
Atlético Mineiro scores an average of 1.25 goals away and concedes 1.75 goals