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Serie A

Internacional - Mirassol

04/19/2026, 02:00 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Internacional
1.7
Total xG
2.5
Mirassol
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:0

11%

2:1

10%

3:0

6%

3:1

5%
xG 分解
INTMIR

Internacional

防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
-0.55
状态上升 (1.5 vs 0.9 赛季平均)
+0.18
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
-0.10
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.09
排名优势 (第13位 vs 第20位, 相差7位)
+0.06
Johan Carbonero替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
31%进球产出缺失 (仅92%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均1.8球 vs 总体0.9球)

Mirassol

小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
+0.30
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.15
状态下滑 (0.6 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
-0.15
排名劣势 (第20位 vs 第13位, 相差7位)
-0.07
Negueba未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
23%进球产出缺失 (仅100%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

54%

平局

27%

客胜

18%

进球数

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

47%

Under 2.5

53%

Over 3.5

25%

Under 3.5

75%

双重机会

主胜或平局

82%

客胜或平局

46%

非平局

73%

双方进球

49%

51%

关键因素
  • Pipeline prediction: Mathematical analysis indicates a 54% home win probability for Internacional
  • Form difference: Internacional is unbeaten in 5 games, while Mirassol suffered 5 consecutive losses
  • Tactical contrast: Internacional prefers a counter-attacking style with an average of 42% possession, while Mirassol plays a possession-dominant game (58%)
风险因素
  • Mirassol has recently dominated in head-to-head matches
  • Mirassol has not achieved any clean sheets this season so far
概述

Internacional (13th place, 13 points) host Mirassol (20th place, 6 points) on April 19, 2026, 3:00 PM in Serie A

The hosts aim to move away from the relegation zone and climb the table

Mirassol is in a critical position at the bottom of the table, fighting for every point

近期状态

Internacional shows good form with WWDWD in their last five matches

The team secured 3 wins and 2 draws, without a single loss

Their last match ended in a draw

Mirassol, on the other hand, is in a crisis with five consecutive losses (LLLLL)

The team has not recorded a win or a draw in their last five games

Currently, Mirassol is on a negative run of 5 losses

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Internacional scored an average of 0.82 goals and conceded 0.91 goals per game this season

At home, Internacional scored 4 goals and conceded 6 goals in 5 matches

Mirassol averages 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded per match this season

Away from home, Mirassol scored 4 goals and conceded 7 goals in 4 matches

Internacional kept 3 clean sheets, while Mirassol has achieved no clean sheets so far

Both teams scored in 5 of Internacional's games and 6 of Mirassol's games

历史交锋

In 2 previous head-to-head matches, there has been one win for Mirassol and one draw

Internacional has not won any of these matches

Mirassol scored 4 goals and Internacional 2 goals

The last encounter saw Mirassol win 3-1 on October 15, 2025

Mirassol has dominated recent direct encounters

关键球员

For Internacional, Alan Patrick (2 goals, 0 assists), Vitinho (0 goals, 3 assists), and Rafael Borré (1 goal, 0 assists) are important players

For Mirassol, Igor Formiga (3 goals, 0 assists), Shaylon (1 goal, 1 assist), and Alesson (0 goals, 2 assists) stand out

门将

Internacional starts with Anthoni in goal, who recorded 3 clean sheets this season

Mirassol relies on Walter, who has no clean sheets this season

影响因素

Internacional scored 4 goals at home and conceded 6 goals

Mirassol scored 4 goals away and conceded 7 goals

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