Serie A
Santos - Fluminense
04/19/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.0
2.2
1.1
1:1
15%0:0
13%0:1
11%1:0
10%1:2
8%xG 分解
Santos
Fluminense
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
31%
平局
33%
客胜
36%
进球数
Over 1.5
65%
Under 1.5
35%
Over 2.5
36%
Under 2.5
64%
Over 3.5
17%
Under 3.5
83%
双重机会
主胜或平局
64%
客胜或平局
69%
非平局
67%
双方进球
是
45%
否
55%
关键因素
- League Position: Fluminense is significantly higher in 3rd place compared to Santos in 14th place
- Fluminense Absences: Only 53% of the usual starting eleven's goal threat is available, without Luciano Acosta (3G/3A), John Kennedy (4G/0A), Agustín Canobbio (3G/1A), and Renê (0G/2A)
- Tactical Difference: Fluminense dominates with 59% possession and 5.8 shots on target, while Santos averages only 2.0 shots on target
风险因素
- Limited data availability for historical venue results
- Santos averaged only 2.0 shots on target in their last 5 games
概述
Santos (14th place, 13 points) host Fluminense (3rd place, 20 points) in Serie A. The match takes place on April 19, 2026, 7:00 PM. Fluminense is fighting for the top of the table, while Santos is positioned in the mid-table.
近期状态
Santos' form (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) in the last five games is LDWLW, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Their last match was a 1-0 win against Atlético Mineiro. Fluminense shows a form of LWWDL in their last five games, also with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. They lost their last game 1-2 against Flamengo.
统计数据
Santos has scored an average of 1.27 goals per game this season and conceded 1.45 goals. At home, they averaged 1.33 goals scored and only 0.83 goals conceded per home game. They kept 3 clean sheets overall. Fluminense is more offensively potent with an average of 1.64 goals scored and concedes an average of 1.18 goals. Away from home, they averaged 1.75 goals scored and also 1.75 goals conceded. Fluminense also managed 3 clean sheets this season. Santos' goal production is stalling (averaging 1.3 goals recently), with a season average of 1.4 goals. Fluminense consistently scores around 1.6 goals per game.
历史交锋
In the 2 previous head-to-head matches, Fluminense secured 1 win and there was 1 draw. Santos has not yet won against Fluminense. The goal difference stands at 1-0 in favor of Fluminense. The last encounter on August 31, 2025, ended in a goalless 0-0 draw. Fluminense has been the more dominant team in recent meetings.
关键球员
For Santos, Neymar (3 goals, 2 assists, average rating 7.58), Gabriel Barbosa (3 goals, 1 assist, average rating 7.35), and Moisés (2 goals, 0 assists, average rating 6.89) are key players with stable form. For Fluminense, Jefferson Savarino (1 goal, 0 assists, average rating 7.18), Hércules (2 goals, 0 assists, average rating 6.99), and Rodrigo Castillo (2 goals, 0 assists, average rating 6.83) stand out, also showing stable form.
门将
Santos' goalkeeper Gabriel Brazão has played 11 games and kept 3 clean sheets. Fluminense's goalkeeper Fábio also featured in 11 matches and achieved 3 clean sheets.
影响因素
Santos displays a solid home defense, conceding an average of 0.83 goals per game. Fluminense is strong offensively away from home, scoring an average of 1.75 goals per game.