Serie A
Athletico PR - Vitória
04/26/2026, 09:30 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.1
0.7
1:0
16%0:0
14%1:1
13%2:0
12%2:1
8%xG 分解
Athletico PR
Vitória
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
53%
平局
31%
客胜
16%
进球数
Over 1.5
62%
Under 1.5
38%
Over 2.5
34%
Under 2.5
66%
Over 3.5
15%
Under 3.5
85%
双重机会
主胜或平局
84%
客胜或平局
47%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
38%
否
62%
关键因素
- Pipeline forecast: Mathematical analysis indicates a home win for Athletico PR with 53% probability
- Athletico PR's home strength: The team scores an average of 1.5 goals at home and concedes only 0.5 goals
- Vitória's away weakness: Vitória concedes an average of 4.0 goals per away game
风险因素
- Vitória are missing key players such as Baralhas (2G/3A) and Renato Kayzer (2G/0A), leaving only 57% of their usual goal threat available
- Vitória concedes an average of 4.0 goals per away game
概述
Athletico PR (6th place, 19 points) host Vitória (12th place, 15 points) in Serie A. The match takes place on April 26, 2026, 10:30 PM. Athletico PR aims to consolidate its position in the upper half of the table, while Vitória seeks to close the gap to the top ranks.
近期状态
Athletico PR's form in the last five games is WLLWL, consisting of 2 wins and 3 losses, with the last result being a loss. Vitória has a form of WLDWD in their last five matches, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. The last result was a draw.
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Athletico PR scores an average of 1.42 goals per game this season and concedes 1.17 goals. At home, Athletico PR is stronger offensively with an average of 1.5 goals per home game and a solid defense conceding only 0.5 goals. Vitória scores an average of 1.0 goal and concedes 1.27 goals per match this season. Away, Vitória's defense is vulnerable, conceding an average of 4.0 goals per away game, while scoring 1.0 goal. Both teams scored in 6 of Athletico PR's games and in 4 of Vitória's games. Athletico PR consistently scores (~1.4 goals per game), while Vitória consistently scores (~1.0 goals per game).
历史交锋
In the 2 previous head-to-head matches, both Athletico PR and Vitória secured one win each, with no draws. Both teams scored 2 goals each. The last encounter saw Vitória win away with a score of 1:2 on November 2, 2024.
关键球员
For Athletico PR, Kevin Viveros (6 goals, 1 assist), Stiven Mendoza (4 goals, 0 assists), and Lucas Esquivel (1 goal, 3 assists) are key players in the starting lineup. For Vitória, Ramon (2 goals, 0 assists), Matheuzinho (2 goals, 0 assists), and Erick (1 goal, 2 assists) are crucial in the starting XI.
门将
Athletico PR's goalkeeper, Santos, has kept 3 clean sheets in 12 appearances this season. For Vitória, goalkeeper Lucas Arcanjo has recorded 5 clean sheets in 8 appearances.
影响因素
Athletico PR shows solid home strength with an average of 1.5 goals scored and only 0.5 goals conceded in home games. In contrast, Vitória exhibits significant away weakness, with an average of 1.0 goal scored and 4.0 goals conceded in away games.