Serie A
Corinthians - Vasco da Gama
04/26/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
0.9
1.9
1.0
0:0
17%1:1
15%0:1
13%1:0
12%0:2
8%xG 分解
Corinthians
Vasco da Gama
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
30%
平局
35%
客胜
35%
进球数
Over 1.5
58%
Under 1.5
42%
Over 2.5
29%
Under 2.5
71%
Over 3.5
12%
Under 3.5
88%
双重机会
主胜或平局
65%
客胜或平局
71%
非平局
65%
双方进球
是
39%
否
61%
关键因素
- Vasco da Gama shows stronger offensive statistics, with an average of 1.5 goals per game compared to Corinthians' 0.67 goals
- Corinthians is in poor form (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses in the last 5 games) and has a faltering goal production (0.7 recently)
- The mathematical analysis predicts a 35% probability for a draw and a 35% probability for an away win for Vasco da Gama
风险因素
- Corinthians score an average of only 0.67 goals per home game
- Corinthians recorded an average of only 2.4 shots on target in their last 5 games
- Corinthians will be without suspended goalkeeper H. de Souza Nogueira
概述
Corinthians (17th place, 12 points) host Vasco da Gama (10th place, 16 points) in Serie A
The match takes place on April 26, 2026, 8:00 PM
Corinthians are fighting against relegation, while Vasco is in the middle of the table
近期状态
Corinthians' home form across all competitions is DLLDD
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
This corresponds to 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses in the last five games
Vasco da Gama shows better form with WDLDW in their last five games
That is 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss
统计数据
Corinthians score an average of only 0.67 goals per game and concede 0.92 goals
At home, they score 0.67 goals and concede 1.0 goals per match
Vasco da Gama is stronger offensively with an average of 1.5 goals scored per game and 1.5 goals conceded
Away, Vasco scores 1.4 goals and concedes 1.8 goals per game
Corinthians' goal production is faltering (0.7 recently), season average is 0.9
Vasco da Gama scores consistently (~1.4 goals per game)
历史交锋
In the 4 head-to-head matches so far, Corinthians dominated with 3 wins compared to 1 win for Vasco da Gama
The goal difference is 9:5 in favor of Corinthians
Corinthians won the last encounter away with a 3:2 score on August 24, 2025
关键球员
For Corinthians, Rodrigo Garro (1 goal, 3 assists, Avg. 7.13 rating) and Gabriel Paulista (1 goal, Avg. 7.07 rating) are important players
Yuri Alberto scored 1 goal in 8 appearances and has scored 1 goal in the last 5 games
For Vasco da Gama, Cuiabano stands out (2 goals, 3 assists, Avg. 7.31 rating)
Thiago Mendes scored 2 goals and 1 assist and is in stable form (1 goal, 1 assist in last 5 games)
Andrés Gómez (2 goals, 2 assists, Avg. 7.01 rating) scored 2 goals in the last 5 games
门将
Kauê is expected in goal for Corinthians
The team has kept 2 clean sheets this season
Vasco da Gama relies on Léo Jardim
The team has kept 0 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Corinthians scores an average of 0.67 goals at home and concedes 1.0 goals per game
Vasco da Gama scores 1.4 goals away and concedes 1.8 goals per game