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Serie A

Botafogo - Internacional

04/25/2026, 09:30 PM

2 : 2
预期进球
Botafogo
1.2
Total xG
2.3
Internacional
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

11%

1:0

10%

0:1

9%

2:1

8%
xG 分解
BOTINT

Botafogo

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.79倍)
-0.73
防守不足 (场均失2球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
+0.43
小样本 (4场) - 均值回归
+0.39
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.12
全员可用

Internacional

最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
状态上升 (1.2 vs 0.9 赛季平均)
+0.10
小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
+0.04
防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1球)
+0.04
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
+0.03
Alan Patrick 替补席 (3球, 0助攻)
Rafael Borré替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
44%进球产出缺失 (仅72%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

37%

平局

31%

客胜

32%

进球数

Over 1.5

70%

Under 1.5

30%

Over 2.5

42%

Under 2.5

59%

Over 3.5

21%

Under 3.5

79%

双重机会

主胜或平局

68%

客胜或平局

63%

非平局

69%

双方进球

49%

51%

关键因素
  • Offensive strength: Botafogo is currently scoring more frequently (2.4) than their season average (2.0)
  • Home advantage: Botafogo's home offense is strong with an average of 1.8 goals
  • Attacking presence: Botafogo recently averaged 6.6 shots on target
风险因素
  • Defensive weakness: Botafogo concedes an average of 2.0 goals per game
  • Offensive limitation: Internacional scores an average of only 0.83 goals per game this season
  • Draw risk: The mathematical analysis shows a draw with 31% probability
概述

Botafogo (9th place, 16 points) host Internacional (14th place, 13 points) in Serie A. The match is scheduled for April 25, 2026, 10:30 PM. Both teams are in the mid-table, striving to close the gap to the top positions.

近期状态

Botafogo shows inconsistent form with a W-W-D-L-W record in their last five matches across all competitions (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). The team recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in this period. Internacional's form in their last five games is L-D-W-D-W, tallying 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss.

统计数据

Botafogo has averaged 2.0 goals scored per game this season and conceded 2.0 goals. At home, their average is 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded. Internacional has averaged 0.83 goals per game and conceded 1.0 goal. Away from home, Internacional averages 0.83 goals scored and 0.67 goals conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of Botafogo's matches and 6 of Internacional's matches.

历史交锋

In 4 head-to-head matches, Botafogo secured 3 wins, while Internacional claimed 1 win, with no draws. The goal difference stands at 6:2 in favor of Botafogo. The last encounter on October 4, 2025, ended in a 2-0 victory for Internacional.

关键球员

For Botafogo, Danilo (6 goals, 2 assists in 9 appearances), Matheus Martins (4 goals, 0 assists in 11 appearances), and Edenilson (3 goals, 2 assists in 7 appearances) are key players. Danilo and Edenilson show stable form, while Matheus Martins has a rising form trend. For Internacional, Alerrandro (1 goal, 0 assists in 11 appearances) with rising form, Vitinho (0 goals, 3 assists in 11 appearances), and Johan Carbonero (1 goal, 1 assist in 12 appearances) are important players. Not nominated for Internacional are Alan Patrick (3G/0A) and Rafael Borré (1G/1A).

门将

Neto for Botafogo has kept 1 clean sheet this season. Internacional has a total of 3 clean sheets this season with Anthoni as the starting goalkeeper.

影响因素

Botafogo exhibits a home goal difference of +0.4 (1.8 goals scored, 1.4 goals conceded). Internacional is defensively solid away from home, conceding an average of 0.67 goals per game while scoring 0.83 goals.

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