Serie A
Bahia - Santos
04/25/2026, 09:30 PM
预期进球
1.5
2.4
0.9
1:1
14%1:0
12%0:0
11%2:0
10%2:1
9%xG 分解
Bahia
Santos
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
50%
平局
29%
客胜
21%
进球数
Over 1.5
71%
Under 1.5
29%
Over 2.5
43%
Under 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
22%
Under 3.5
78%
双重机会
主胜或平局
79%
客胜或平局
50%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
47%
否
53%
关键因素
- Critical weakening for Santos: Only 34% of the usual goal threat is active, with Neymar (3G/2A) and Álvaro Barreal (2G/0A) among those missing
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Bahia with a 50% probability and 1.50 expected home goals
- Bahia has been dominant in possession in their last 5 games with an average of 5.4 shots on target, while Santos recorded few attempts with 2.4 shots per game
风险因素
- Santos concedes an average of 2.75 goals per away game
- Santos recorded an average of only 2.4 shots on target in their last 5 matches
概述
Bahia (5th place, 20 points) host Santos (15th place, 13 points) in Serie A
The match takes place on April 25, 2026, 10:30 PM
Bahia aims to improve its position in the upper half of the table
Santos wants to stay away from the relegation battle
近期状态
Bahia's form in their last five matches is 'LWLWL'
This corresponds to 2 wins and 3 losses
Santos' form in their last five matches is 'DWLWL'
This means 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses for Santos
Both teams lost their last respective match
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Bahia scores an average of 1.36 goals and concedes 1.09 goals per game
In home games, the average is 1.33 goals scored and only 0.67 goals conceded
Bahia kept 4 clean sheets, 2 of them at home
In 6 of Bahia's matches, both teams scored, 5 matches ended with over 2.5 goals
Santos scores an average of 1.33 goals and concedes 1.58 goals per game
Away from home, the average is 1.5 goals scored but a high 2.75 goals conceded
Santos kept 3 clean sheets, 1 of them away
In 9 of Santos' matches, both teams scored, 7 matches ended with over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
In 2 head-to-head matches, Bahia has achieved 1 win and 1 draw
Santos has not secured a victory yet
Bahia scored a total of 4 goals and conceded 2 goals
Bahia won the last encounter on August 24, 2025, with a score of 2:0
Bahia has shown dominance in recent direct duels
关键球员
For Bahia, Luciano Juba (4 goals, 1 assist, Ø 7.23 rating), Jean Lucas (2 goals, 2 assists, Ø 6.92 rating) and Willian José (2 goals, 1 assist, Ø 6.65 rating) are important players
For Santos, Thaciano (2 goals), Gonzalo Escobar (1 assist) and Christian Oliva (1 assist) are notable
门将
Bahia's goalkeeper Léo Vieira has made 4 appearances this season and achieved an average rating of 7.36
Bahia has kept 4 clean sheets this season, 2 of them in home games
Santos' goalkeeper Diógenes has not made any appearances this season
Santos has recorded 3 clean sheets, 1 of them away from home
影响因素
Bahia shows strong defensive performance at home, conceding only an average of 0.67 goals per home game
Santos, on the other hand, concedes an average of 2.75 goals per away game