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Serie A

Remo - Cruzeiro

04/25/2026, 09:30 PM

0 : 1
预期进球
Remo
1.4
Total xG
2.7
Cruzeiro
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

8%

1:2

8%

2:0

6%

0:2

6%
xG 分解
REMCRU

Remo

防守不足 (场均失2球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
+0.43
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.79倍)
-0.38
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.17
小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
+0.17
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.07
Alef Manga替补席 (2球, 3助攻)
Gabriel Taliari替补席 (3球, 0助攻)
52%进球产出缺失 (仅43%可用)

Cruzeiro

小样本 (5场) - 均值回归
-0.32
状态上升 (2 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.17
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.04
Matheus Pereira未进大名单 (2球, 2助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

37%

平局

29%

客胜

34%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

双重机会

主胜或平局

66%

客胜或平局

63%

非平局

71%

双方进球

56%

44%

关键因素
  • Significant weakening for Remo: Only 43% of the usual starting XI's goal threat is available without Alef Manga and Gabriel Taliari
  • Cruzeiro's extreme away defensive weakness: An average of 4.67 goals conceded per away game this season
  • Cruzeiro shows positive form and trend: Three wins in the last five games and currently 2.0 goals per game, an increase from their season average of 1.5 goals
风险因素
  • Remo generally shows a high vulnerability in defense, conceding an average of 1.83 goals per game
  • Cruzeiro must do without F. Soares de Faria, M. Costa Pereira, and L. Silva Borges due to yellow card suspensions
概述

Remo (19th place, 8 points) hosts Cruzeiro (16th place, 13 points) in Serie A

The match takes place on April 25, 2026, 9:30 PM (UTC)

Both teams are in the lower half of the table, with Remo in a relegation spot and Cruzeiro just above it

近期状态

Remo's current form is WLDDL, meaning 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches

Their last game resulted in a 2-4 loss away against Bragantino

Cruzeiro's form is DWLWW, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches

Cruzeiro last won 2-0 at home against Grêmio

Remo has one consecutive loss, while Cruzeiro has achieved two consecutive wins

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Remo scores an average of 1.08 goals and concedes 1.83 goals per game this season

At home, Remo scores an average of 1.14 goals and concedes 1.0 goals

Cruzeiro scores an average of 1.33 goals and concedes 1.75 goals per game this season

Away from home, Cruzeiro scores an average of 1.33 goals and concedes an extremely high 4.67 goals

Remo currently scores more often (1.8) than their season average (1.2)

Cruzeiro currently scores more often (2.0) than their season average (1.5)

Remo has achieved 1 clean sheet this season, while Cruzeiro has 3 clean sheets

Both teams scored in 6 of Remo's matches and 7 of Cruzeiro's matches

5 of Remo's matches and 8 of Cruzeiro's matches ended with over 2.5 goals

关键球员

For Remo, Marcelinho (defender) is in good form with 1 goal and 0 assists in 5 games and an average rating of 6.91 in the last 5 matches

Tchamba (defender) played 5 games, scored 0 goals and 0 assists with an average rating of 6.84

Marllon  (defender) scored 1 goal and 0 assists in 5 games with an average rating of 6.75

For Cruzeiro, Christian (midfielder) is in top form with 4 goals and 1 assist in 5 games and an average rating of 7.57

Keny Arroyo (attacker) recorded 0 goals and 2 assists in 5 games with an average rating of 7.09

Gerson (midfielder) scored 0 goals and 1 assist in 5 games with an average rating of 7.05

门将

Remo relies on Marcelo Rangel, who achieved an average rating of 6.88 and 1 clean sheet this season

For Cruzeiro, Matheus Cunha is in goal, with an average rating of 6.48 and 3 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Remo scores an average of 1.14 goals at home and concedes 1.0 home goals

Cruzeiro concedes an average of 4.67 goals per away game

Remo plays counter-oriented in the last 5 games with an average of 42% possession

Cruzeiro plays a balanced style in the last 5 games with 54% possession and an average of 5.8 shots on target

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