Serie A
Chapecoense - Bragantino
05/03/2026, 09:30 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.6
1.4
1:1
14%1:2
9%0:2
7%2:1
7%2:2
5%xG 分解
Chapecoense
Bragantino
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
30%
平局
29%
客胜
41%
进球数
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
27%
Under 3.5
73%
双重机会
主胜或平局
59%
客胜或平局
70%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
55%
否
45%
关键因素
- Chapecoense's squad impact is critical, with only 42% of their usual goal threat available
- The mathematical analysis predicts a 41% win probability for Bragantino, compared to 30% for Chapecoense
- Bragantino shows significantly better form with 3 wins in their last 5 games, while Chapecoense recorded 4 losses
风险因素
- Bragantino has a reduced starting XI strength, with key players Juninho Capixaba and Henry Mosquera missing, leaving only 59% of their usual goal threat available
- Bragantino concedes an average of 2.33 goals per away game, indicating defensive vulnerability on the road
概述
Chapecoense (20th place, 8 points) hosts Bragantino (9th place, 17 points) in Serie A on May 3, 2026, 11:30 PM. Chapecoense is currently at the bottom of the table, fighting for survival, while Bragantino is in mid-table, looking to pull away from the relegation zone.
近期状态
Chapecoense is in a difficult phase with a form of LDLLL in their last five matches, corresponding to 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses. Their recent trend shows three consecutive losses. Bragantino, on the other hand, shows a form of LWLWW with 3 wins and 2 losses. A loss followed a win in their last game. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.
统计数据
Chapecoense scores an average of 1.0 goals and concedes 2.0 goals per game this season. At home, they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded. Bragantino averages 1.15 goals scored and also 1.15 goals conceded per game. Away, Bragantino's offensive output is 1.33 goals scored and their defense concedes 2.33 goals per away game. Both teams scored in 7 of Chapecoense's 12 games and in 6 of Bragantino's 13 games.
历史交锋
There are no direct head-to-head matches between these two teams in the provided dataset.
关键球员
For Chapecoense, goalkeeper Anderson (8.64 season average rating in 1 appearance) and attackers Ênio (1 goal in 4 appearances, 7.31 average rating) and Marcinho (1 goal, 1 assist in 7 appearances, 6.67 average rating) are important players. For Bragantino, Isidro Pitta stands out with 4 goals and 1 assist in 12 appearances and an average rating of 6.85, followed by Lucas Barbosa with 2 goals and 1 assist in 12 appearances and an average rating of 7.07. Goalkeeper Tiago Volpi (6 appearances, 7.14 average rating) is also a key player for Bragantino.
门将
Chapecoense's goalkeeper Anderson has a season average rating of 8.64 in 1 appearance and the team has 1 clean sheet in 12 games. Bragantino's goalkeeper Tiago Volpi has a season average rating of 7.14 in 6 appearances and the team has 4 clean sheets in 13 games.
影响因素
Chapecoense scores an average of 1.0 goals per home game and concedes 1.5 goals per home game. Bragantino scores 1.33 goals per away game and concedes 2.33 goals per away game.