Serie A
Vitória - Coritiba
05/02/2026, 09:30 PM
预期进球
1.1
2.0
0.8
0:0
16%1:1
15%1:0
14%0:1
10%2:0
9%xG 分解
Vitória
Coritiba
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
40%
平局
34%
客胜
25%
进球数
Over 1.5
60%
Under 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
31%
Under 2.5
69%
Over 3.5
14%
Under 3.5
86%
双重机会
主胜或平局
75%
客胜或平局
60%
非平局
66%
双方进球
是
40%
否
60%
关键因素
- Pipeline forecast: Mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 40% probability
- Vitória's home defense: An average of only 0.25 goals conceded per home game with 5 clean sheets demonstrates a strong defense
- Coritiba's form: The team recently showed a more stable form with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss
风险因素
- Limited data available for head-to-head matches, as no previous encounters were found
概述
Vitória (13th place, 15 points) will host Coritiba (7th place, 19 points) in a Serie A match. The game is scheduled for May 2, 2026, 10:30 PM. Both teams are in the mid-table and are looking to improve their standings.
近期状态
Vitória's current form is L-D-W-D-L (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses). The home team lost their last away game against Athletico PR with a score of 1-3. Coritiba shows a form of L-D-D-D-W (1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss). They also suffered a 0-1 defeat in their last away match against Grêmio. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Vitória has scored an average of 1.00 goal per game and conceded 1.42 goals this season. At home, Vitória's defense is particularly strong, with only 0.25 goals conceded on average per home game and 5 clean sheets. Coritiba scores an average of 1.15 goals and concedes 1.00 goal per match. Away from home, Coritiba has scored an average of 1.11 goals and conceded 1.00 goal.
历史交锋
No previous head-to-head matches between these two teams were found in the dataset.
关键球员
For Vitória, key players include Matheuzinho (2 goals, 1 assist, Avg Rating 6.88), Ramon (2 goals, Avg Rating 6.68) and Cacá (1 goal, Avg Rating 6.72). Matheuzinho recorded 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games, Ramon 1 goal, and Cacá 1 goal. On Coritiba's side, Joaquín Lavega (3 goals, Avg Rating 6.70), Pedro Rocha (3 goals, Avg Rating 6.78) and Josué (4 assists, Avg Rating 7.00) stand out. Joaquín Lavega and Pedro Rocha each scored 1 goal in their last 5 games, while Josué contributed 1 assist. Not nominated for Vitória are Baralhas (2 goals/3 assists) and Renato Kayzer (2 goals/0 assists). For Coritiba, Breno Lopes (5 goals/1 assist) is not nominated.
门将
Lucas Arcanjo, Vitória's goalkeeper, has an average rating of 7.09 in 9 season appearances. The team achieved 5 clean sheets. Pedro Rangel, Coritiba's goalkeeper, recorded an average rating of 7.19 in 10 appearances. The team kept 4 clean sheets.
影响因素
Vitória shows a solid home performance with an average of 1.00 goal scored and only 0.25 goals conceded per home game. No specific data on venue history or weather conditions is available for this match.