Serie A
Internacional - Fluminense
05/03/2026, 09:30 PM
预期进球
1.1
2.3
1.1
1:1
15%0:0
12%1:0
10%0:1
10%2:1
8%xG 分解
Internacional
Fluminense
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
34%
平局
32%
客胜
34%
进球数
Over 1.5
68%
Under 1.5
32%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
20%
Under 3.5
80%
双重机会
主胜或平局
66%
客胜或平局
66%
非平局
68%
双方进球
是
48%
否
52%
关键因素
- Fluminense's offensive strength: They are currently scoring more often (2.0) than their season average (1.8) and average 1.67 goals per away game
- Internacional's defensive home weakness: An average of 1.6 goals conceded in home games indicates vulnerability
- Historical record: Fluminense dominated recent head-to-head encounters and won the last match
风险因素
- Internacional is missing key goal scorers and playmakers (Vitinho, Alan Patrick , Rafael Borré), as only 66% of the usual starting XI's goal threat is available
- Fluminense has to play without several key players (Jefferson Savarino, Rodrigo Castillo, Hércules, Guga), which is reflected in a reduced 62% goal threat from the starting XI
概述
Internacional (17th place, 14 points) hosts Fluminense (3rd place, 26 points) in a Serie A match
The game is scheduled for May 3, 2026, at 10:30 PM
Fluminense aims to close the gap to the top of the table, while Internacional fights to avoid relegation
近期状态
Internacional's form in their last five matches is 'DWDLD'
This includes 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss
Their last performance was a 2-2 away draw against Botafogo
Fluminense, on the other hand, shows a form of 'WDLWW'
They have achieved 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss
Fluminense recently secured a 2-1 home win against Chapecoense and has a run of 2 consecutive wins
Fluminense currently appears to be in better form (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Internacional averages 0.92 goals scored per game and concedes 1.08 goals
In home games, they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded
Both teams scored in 7 of Internacional's 13 matches (54%)
Fluminense is more offensively potent with an average of 1.77 goals scored per game and 1.23 goals conceded
Away from home, Fluminense scores 1.67 goals per game and concedes 1.5 goals
Both teams scored in 10 of Fluminense's 13 matches (77%)
The pipeline analysis predicts 1.14 expected home goals for Internacional and 1.13 expected away goals for Fluminense
历史交锋
In the 4 previous head-to-head encounters, Internacional secured 1 win
Fluminense won 2 matches, and 1 game ended in a draw
The goal difference in these matches is 3:4 in favor of Fluminense
The last meeting on October 25, 2025, saw Fluminense win 1-0 away
Overall, the record shows a slight dominance by Fluminense in recent matchups
关键球员
For Internacional, Johan Carbonero (Attacker) is a key player with 2 season goals and 1 assist, including 1 goal in the last 5 games
Alexandro Bernabei (Defender) also contributed 2 season goals and 1 goal in the last 5 games
Alerrandro (Attacker) showed rising form with 1 season goal and 1 assist, including 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 5 appearances
For Fluminense, John Kennedy (Attacker) stands out with 6 season goals and 3 goals in his last 5 games
Agustín Canobbio (Attacker) has 3 season goals and 1 assist
Guilherme Arana (Defender) is also notable with 1 season goal
门将
Anthoni is in goal for Internacional, having played 3 matches so far this season
Internacional's team has kept 3 clean sheets this season
Fábio guards the goal for Fluminense, with 13 appearances this season
Fluminense's team has also recorded 3 clean sheets
影响因素
Internacional averages 1.0 goals scored and 1.6 goals conceded in home games
Fluminense averages 1.67 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded in away games