Serie A
Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro
05/03/2026, 12:00 AM
预期进球
1.4
2.3
0.9
1:1
14%1:0
12%0:0
12%2:0
10%2:1
9%xG 分解
Cruzeiro
Atlético Mineiro
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
47%
平局
31%
客胜
23%
进球数
Over 1.5
68%
Under 1.5
32%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
20%
Under 3.5
80%
双重机会
主胜或平局
77%
客胜或平局
53%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
46%
否
54%
关键因素
- Critical absences for Atlético Mineiro: Only 39% of usual goal production is available without Victor Hugo (3G/1A), Hulk (1G/3A), Tomás Cuello (2G/1A), Reinier (1G/1A)
- Strong form of Cruzeiro with three consecutive wins compared to Atlético Mineiro's series of three losses
- Cruzeiro's solid home defense (0.78 goals conceded per game) meets Atlético Mineiro's vulnerable away defense (1.8 goals conceded per game)
风险因素
- Historical record shows Atlético Mineiro has been dominant in head-to-head matches (recentDominant: "away")
- The mathematical analysis predicts a low probability of over 2.5 goals at only 40%
概述
Cruzeiro (12th place, 16 points) host Atlético Mineiro (15th place, 14 points) in Serie A
The match takes place on May 2, 2026, 9:00 PM
Both teams are in the mid-table, with Cruzeiro holding a slight lead going into the clash
近期状态
Cruzeiro is in strong form with three consecutive wins (WLWWW)
In their last five matches, Cruzeiro recorded 4 wins and 1 loss
The home team won their last game against Remo with a 1-0 score
Atlético Mineiro is going through a difficult period with three consecutive losses (WWLLL)
The away team registered 2 wins and 3 losses in their last five matches
Atlético Mineiro lost their last game against Flamengo with a 0-4 score
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Cruzeiro scores an average of 1.31 goals per game and concedes 1.62 goals per game this season
At home, Cruzeiro is defensively solid, scoring an average of 1.33 goals and conceding only 0.78 goals per home game
The team kept 4 clean sheets in season games and 3 in home games
Atlético Mineiro scores an average of 1.08 goals per game and concedes 1.46 goals per game
Away from home, Atlético Mineiro concedes an average of 1.8 goals per away game
The team kept 3 clean sheets in season games and 1 in away games
历史交锋
In 4 head-to-head matches between Cruzeiro and Atlético Mineiro, Cruzeiro has not won a home game
Atlético Mineiro won 2 direct encounters, with 2 ending in a draw
The goal difference of 5:1 goals favors Atlético Mineiro
The last meeting on October 16, 2025, ended in a 1-1 draw
关键球员
For Cruzeiro, Christian is an important midfielder with 5 goals and 1 assist this season and rising form
Matheus Pereira, also in midfield, shines with 2 goals and 2 assists and an average rating of 7.35
Keny Arroyo in attack contributed 1 goal and 2 assists and shows an upward trend in form
For Atlético Mineiro, Ruan in defense is active with 1 season goal
Forward Bernard contributed 1 season goal, with 1 goal in his last 5 appearances
Defender Natanael provided 2 assists this season, with 1 in his last 5 games
门将
Otávio Costa is expected in goal for Cruzeiro, having no appearances this season
Cruzeiro has recorded 4 clean sheets this season, with 3 at home
Everson is in goal for Atlético Mineiro, with 13 season appearances, 1 assist, and an average rating of 6.91
Atlético Mineiro kept a clean sheet in 3 season games and 1 away game
影响因素
Cruzeiro shows a good defensive performance at home, conceding an average of 0.78 goals per game
Atlético Mineiro concedes an average of 1.8 goals per away match