Serie A
São Paulo - Bahia
05/03/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.6
2.6
1.0
1:1
13%2:0
10%2:1
10%1:2
6%3:0
5%xG 分解
São Paulo
Bahia
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
51%
平局
28%
客胜
21%
进球数
Over 1.5
75%
Under 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
27%
Under 3.5
73%
双重机会
主胜或平局
79%
客胜或平局
49%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
52%
否
48%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for São Paulo with a probability of 51%
- Bahia showed strong offensive play in the last 5 games with an average of 5.8 shots on target
- São Paulo has a robust home defense, conceding an average of only 0.38 goals per home game
概述
São Paulo (4th place, 23 points) host Bahia (6th place, 21 points) in a Serie A match on May 3, 2026, 7:00 PM
São Paulo aims to solidify their position in the upper ranks of the table
Bahia seeks to close the gap on the top teams
近期状态
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
São Paulo's form across all competitions: DWLLW
In their last 5 matches, São Paulo recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
The last result was a win, giving the team a winning streak of 1 game
Bahia's form across all competitions: WLWLD
Bahia achieved 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
The last result was a draw, giving the team a drawing streak of 1 game
统计数据
São Paulo has scored an average of 1.31 goals per game and conceded an average of 0.85 goals this season
At home, São Paulo scored an average of 1.38 goals and conceded an average of 0.38 goals
Both teams failed to score in 6 matches, while over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 matches
Bahia has scored an average of 1.42 goals per game and conceded an average of 1.17 goals this season
Away from home, Bahia scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded an average of 1.60 goals
Both teams scored in 7 matches, while over 2.5 goals were scored in 6 matches
历史交锋
There have been a total of 4 head-to-head matches between São Paulo and Bahia
São Paulo won 3 of these matches, while Bahia won 1
There were no draws between the two teams
São Paulo scored 9 goals, while Bahia scored 3 goals
The last encounter on October 26, 2025, ended in a 2-0 victory for São Paulo
São Paulo has been dominant in recent encounters
关键球员
The key players for São Paulo are:
Jonathan Calleri (Attacker) with 6 goals and 0 assists, average rating 6.96, with a declining form trend recently
Luciano (Attacker) with 4 goals and 1 assist, average rating 7.12, with a stable form trend recently
Wendell (Defender) with 0 goals and 2 assists, average rating 6.76, with a stable form trend recently
Not nominated: Marcos Antônio (0 goals, 2 assists)
The key players for Bahia are:
Luciano Juba (Defender) with 5 goals and 1 assist, average rating 7.26, with a stable form trend recently
Willian José (Attacker) with 3 goals and 1 assist, average rating 6.74, with a stable form trend recently
Jean Lucas (Midfielder) with 2 goals and 2 assists, average rating 6.90, with a stable form trend recently
Not nominated: Everaldo (3 goals, 0 assists)
门将
São Paulo's goalkeeper is Rafael, who played in 13 matches and kept 4 clean sheets
Bahia's goalkeeper is Léo Vieira, who played in 5 matches and kept 4 clean sheets
影响因素
São Paulo demonstrates a strong home performance with an average of 1.38 goals scored and only 0.38 goals conceded per home game
Bahia, on the other hand, concedes an average of 1.60 goals per away game