Serie A
Palmeiras - Santos
05/02/2026, 09:30 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.2
0.8
1:0
14%1:1
14%0:0
12%2:0
11%2:1
9%xG 分解
Palmeiras
Santos
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
51%
平局
30%
客胜
19%
进球数
Over 1.5
67%
Under 1.5
33%
Over 2.5
38%
Under 2.5
62%
Over 3.5
19%
Under 3.5
81%
双重机会
主胜或平局
81%
客胜或平局
49%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
43%
否
57%
关键因素
- Palmeiras' strong home performance (1.86 goals scored, 0.57 goals conceded) faces Santos' weak away defense (2.17 goals conceded)
- Palmeiras shows excellent form (4 wins in 5 games), while Santos' form (2 losses in 5 games) is considered unstable
- The clear league positions (Palmeiras 1st place, Santos 17th place) support the favorite role, backed by a 51% home win probability
风险因素
- Santos concedes an average of 2.17 goals per away game
- Santos averaged 3.2 shots on target in their last 5 games
概述
Palmeiras (1st place, 32 points) host Santos (17th place, 14 points) in Serie A
The match takes place on May 2, 2026, 10:30 PM
Palmeiras is currently the league leader and aims to consolidate their top position
Santos is in a relegation battle and desperately needs points
近期状态
Palmeiras shows strong form with WWDWW in their last 5 games (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
This corresponds to 4 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses
Palmeiras won their last two games consecutively
Santos' form is more unstable with WLWLD in their last 5 games
This represents 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
In their last match, Santos achieved a draw after a loss
Palmeiras recently won 1-0 away against Bragantino and 1-0 at home against Athletico PR
Santos drew 2-2 away against Bahia and lost 2-3 at home against Fluminense
统计数据
Palmeiras averages 1.77 goals per game and concedes 0.77 goals
At home, these values are even better: 1.86 goals scored and 0.57 goals conceded per home game
Santos averages 1.38 goals per game and concedes 1.62 goals
Away from home, Santos concedes an average of 2.17 goals while scoring 1.33 goals
Palmeiras recorded 5 clean sheets and had 8 games where both teams scored
Santos achieved 3 clean sheets and had 10 games where both teams scored
Palmeiras' goal production has recently stalled (1.5 goals), compared to a season average of 1.9 goals
Santos scores consistently at approximately 1.6 goals per game
历史交锋
In 2 head-to-head matches, there has been one win for Palmeiras and one for Santos respectively
Palmeiras scored 2 goals, Santos scored 1 goal
Santos won the last encounter 1-0 away on November 16, 2025
Previously, Palmeiras won 2-0 at home on November 7, 2025
The record of recent duels is even
关键球员
Key players for Palmeiras include Andreas Pereira (1 goal, 9 assists), José Manuel López (4 goals, 3 assists), and Marlon Freitas (2 goals, 1 assist)
Marlon Freitas has shown strong form in the last 5 games with 2 goals
For Santos, Gabriel Barbosa (4 goals, 2 assists), Benjamín Rollheiser (2 goals), and Álvaro Barreal (2 goals) stand out
Gabriel Barbosa delivered 2 goals and 2 assists in his last 5 games
Benjamín Rollheiser scored 2 goals in his last 3 games, his form is rising
Not selected for Palmeiras are Allan (3G/0A) and Ramón Sosa (1G/1A)
Not selected for Santos are Neymar (3G/2A) and Thaciano (2G/0A)
门将
Palmeiras' goalkeeper Carlos Miguel made 13 season appearances and kept 5 clean sheets
Santos' goalkeeper Gabriel Brazão played in 12 games and achieved 3 clean sheets
影响因素
Palmeiras benefits from a clear home advantage with an average of 1.86 home goals scored and only 0.57 home goals conceded
The mathematical analysis calculates a home win probability of 51%