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Serie A

Remo - Palmeiras

05/10/2026, 08:40 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Remo
0.9
Total xG
2.0
Palmeiras
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

15%

0:1

13%

1:0

10%

0:2

8%
xG 分解
REMPAL

Remo

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.77倍)
-0.95
小样本 (6场) - 均值回归
+0.48
排名劣势 (第19位 vs 第1位, 相差18位)
-0.16
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.04
Gabriel Taliari未进大名单 (3球, 0助攻)

Palmeiras

防守实力 (场均失0.8球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
-0.26
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.26
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 1.8 赛季平均)
-0.18
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
+0.10
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第19位, 相差18位)
+0.08
Mauricio替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体1.8球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

28%

平局

34%

客胜

38%

进球数

Over 1.5

62%

Under 1.5

38%

Over 2.5

33%

Under 2.5

67%

Over 3.5

15%

Under 3.5

85%

双重机会

主胜或平局

62%

客胜或平局

72%

非平局

66%

双方进球

42%

58%

关键因素
  • Table and Form Disparity: Palmeiras leads the league and is unbeaten in 5 games, while Remo is 19th and has only 1 win in their last 5 matches
  • Palmeiras' Defensive Strength: Palmeiras concedes only 0.79 goals per game on average this season (1.0 away), compared to Remo's 1.71 goals conceded per game
  • Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis projects an away win with 38% probability, or an away win or draw with 72% probability
风险因素
  • Remo's Home Defensive Performance: Remo has conceded an average of 1.14 goals in home games and has not achieved any clean sheets
  • Palmeiras' Recent Goal Drought: Palmeiras' goal production has recently stalled (averaging 1.3 goals in recent games), while their season average is 1.9 goals
  • Remo's Tactical Approach: Remo played counter-oriented in the last 5 games with 44% possession and an average of 3.8 shots on target
概述

Remo (19th place, 11 points) host Palmeiras (1st place, 33 points) in a Serie A match on May 10, 2026, 7:00 PM

Palmeiras aims to extend their lead at the top of the table

Remo is fighting against relegation

近期状态

Remo's form in the last five games (all competitions): DDLLW (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses)

Remo last won away 2-1 against Botafogo

Palmeiras' form in the last five games (all competitions): WDWWD (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses)

Palmeiras last drew 1-1 at home against Santos

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Remo has scored an average of 1.07 goals and conceded 1.71 goals per game this season

In home games, Remo has scored an average of 1.14 goals and conceded 1.14 goals

Remo recorded 1 clean sheet throughout the season, with 7 both teams to score matches and 6 over 2.5 goals matches

Palmeiras has scored an average of 1.71 goals and conceded 0.79 goals per game this season

In away games, Palmeiras has scored an average of 1.67 goals and conceded 1.0 goals

Palmeiras recorded 5 clean sheets throughout the season, with 9 both teams to score matches and 8 over 2.5 goals matches

历史交锋

The provided dataset does not contain any direct head-to-head meetings between Remo and Palmeiras

关键球员

Remo has the following key players:

Alef Manga (3 goals, 3 assists this season, Avg. 6.93 Rating, stable form)

Jajá (2 goals, 1 assist this season, Avg. 6.72 Rating, stable form)

Marcelinho (1 goal, 0 assists this season, Avg. 6.73 Rating, rising form)

Not nominated: Gabriel Taliari (3 goals, 0 assists)

Palmeiras has the following key players:

Andreas Pereira (1 goal, 10 assists this season, Avg. 7.36 Rating, declining form)

José Manuel López (5 goals, 3 assists this season, Avg. 7.08 Rating, declining form)

Marlon Freitas (2 goals, 1 assist this season, Avg. 7.08 Rating, rising form)

Not nominated: Mauricio (1 goal, 1 assist)

门将

Remo's goalkeeper, Marcelo Rangel, has an average rating of 6.96 this season and 1 clean sheet

Palmeiras' goalkeeper, Carlos Miguel, has an average rating of 7.05 this season and 5 clean sheets

影响因素

Remo has scored an average of 1.14 goals and conceded 1.14 goals in home games

Palmeiras has scored an average of 1.67 goals and conceded 1.0 goals in away games

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