Serie A
Atlético Mineiro - Botafogo
05/10/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.2
1.1
1:1
15%0:0
12%1:0
11%0:1
9%2:1
8%xG 分解
Atlético Mineiro
Botafogo
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
37%
平局
32%
客胜
31%
进球数
Over 1.5
67%
Under 1.5
33%
Over 2.5
39%
Under 2.5
61%
Over 3.5
19%
Under 3.5
81%
双重机会
主胜或平局
69%
客胜或平局
63%
非平局
68%
双方进球
是
47%
否
53%
关键因素
- Atlético Mineiro's goal production has stalled recently (1.0 goals per game), while their season average is 1.2 goals
- Botafogo is currently scoring more frequently (2.2 goals per game) than their season average (1.9 goals)
- The mathematical analysis predicts a rather balanced match outcome with a 37% home win, 32% draw, and 31% away win
风险因素
- Botafogo concedes an average of 2.14 goals per away game
- The pipeline analysis calculates only a 39% probability for over 2.5 goals, suggesting a potentially low-scoring game
- The prediction is very tight, with a home win probability of 37% and an away win of 31%
概述
Atlético Mineiro (13th place, 17 points) host Botafogo (12th place, 17 points) in Serie A
The match takes place on May 10, 2026, 8:00 PM
Both teams are level on points in the mid-table
近期状态
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Atlético Mineiro's last five games show a WLLLW form (2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses)
Their last result was a 3-1 away win against Cruzeiro
This was preceded by three consecutive losses
Botafogo's last five games show a WDWDL form (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss)
Their last match ended in a 1-2 home loss against Remo
统计数据
Atlético Mineiro scores an average of 1.21 goals per game and concedes 1.43 goals
Botafogo is stronger offensively with 1.92 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded per game
For Atlético Mineiro, 5 games ended with both teams scoring and 7 games had over 2.5 goals
Botafogo saw both teams score in 10 games and over 2.5 goals in 12 games
Atlético Mineiro averages 1.29 goals scored and 1.43 goals conceded at home
Botafogo averages 1.86 goals scored and 2.14 goals conceded away
历史交锋
In 4 head-to-head matches, Atlético Mineiro recorded 1 win, Botafogo 2 wins, and 1 draw
Botafogo scored 4 goals and conceded 1 goal
The last direct encounter on September 20, 2025, was a 1-0 away win for Botafogo
Botafogo has been dominant in recent matchups
关键球员
Atlético Mineiro:
Tomás Cuello (Attacker) registered 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games with a rating of 7.21
Mateo Cassierra (Attacker) scored 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 4 games with a rating of 6.94
Renan Lodi (Defender) provided 1 assist in the last 5 games and achieved a rating of 6.98
Additionally, Victor Hugo (3 goals, 1 assist), Hulk (1 goal, 3 assists), Natanael (0 goals, 2 assists), and Reinier (1 goal, 1 assist) are not nominated
Botafogo:
Matheus Martins (Attacker) scored 3 goals in the last 5 games with a rating of 7.45
Danilo (Midfielder) recorded 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games with a rating of 7.39
Edenilson (Midfielder) contributed 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games with a rating of 6.96
Additionally, Vitinho (0 goals, 2 assists) is not nominated
门将
Everson of Atlético Mineiro made 14 appearances and kept 3 clean sheets
Neto of Botafogo played 6 matches and recorded 1 clean sheet
影响因素
Atlético Mineiro scores 1.29 goals and concedes 1.43 goals at home
Botafogo scores 1.86 goals and concedes 2.14 goals away