Serie A
Santos - Bragantino
05/10/2026, 09:30 PM
预期进球
1.1
2.2
1.1
1:1
15%0:0
13%1:0
11%0:1
10%2:1
7%xG 分解
Santos
Bragantino
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
35%
平局
33%
客胜
32%
进球数
Over 1.5
66%
Under 1.5
34%
Over 2.5
37%
Under 2.5
63%
Over 3.5
18%
Under 3.5
82%
双重机会
主胜或平局
68%
客胜或平局
65%
非平局
67%
双方进球
是
46%
否
54%
关键因素
- Bragantino's current form, with 3 wins in 5 games, is significantly better than Santos'
- Bragantino's offensive performance has improved, averaging 1.6 goals in recent games compared to 1.2 goals season average
- The mathematical analysis predicts a very close match, with almost equal probabilities for all three outcomes
风险因素
- Santos has shown inconsistent performance recently with only one win, two draws, and two losses in the last five games
- Neymar's form has been declining recently with a trend delta of -0.26
- The mathematical analysis indicates a high probability of a draw at 33%
概述
Santos (16th place, 15 points) host Bragantino (7th place, 20 points) in Serie A. The match takes place on May 10, 2026, 10:30 PM. Santos is fighting against relegation, while Bragantino is playing for an international spot
近期状态
Santos' form in the last five games across all competitions: L W L D D (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses)
The last two games ended in a draw
Bragantino's form in the last five games across all competitions: W L W L W (3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses)
The last game was a win
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Santos averages 1.36 goals scored per game and concedes 1.57 goals per game this season
At home, Santos averages 1.43 goals scored and 1.14 goals conceded
Both teams scored in 11 of 14 games
Bragantino averages 1.21 goals scored per game and concedes 1.14 goals per game this season
Away from home, Bragantino averages 1.20 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded
Bragantino kept 4 clean sheets this season
历史交锋
In the last two head-to-head matches, Bragantino secured one win and one draw
Bragantino scored 4 goals, Santos scored 3 goals
The last match ended 2:2 on September 28, 2025
Bragantino has been more dominant in recent encounters
关键球员
For Santos, Neymar (3 goals, 2 assists, avg rating 7.35), Benjamín Rollheiser (3 goals, 0 assists, avg rating 6.95), and Álvaro Barreal (2 goals, 0 assists, avg rating 6.74) are key players
Neymar's form has been declining recently, while Benjamín Rollheiser shows a rising form trend
For Bragantino, Isidro Pitta (4 goals, 1 assist, avg rating 6.83), Lucas Barbosa (3 goals, 1 assist, avg rating 7.13), and Juninho Capixaba (2 goals, 2 assists, avg rating 7.18) are notable
Isidro Pitta is in rising form
门将
Santos' goalkeeper Diógenes has played 1 game so far and has no season goals or assists
Santos kept 3 clean sheets this season
Bragantino's goalkeeper Tiago Volpi has played 7 season games and has no goals or assists
Bragantino achieved 4 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Santos scores an average of 1.43 goals at home and concedes 1.14 goals
Bragantino scores an average of 1.20 goals away and concedes 1.60 goals