Serie A
Vasco da Gama - Athletico PR
05/10/2026, 11:30 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.2
1.0
1:1
15%0:0
13%1:0
11%0:1
10%2:1
8%xG 分解
Vasco da Gama
Athletico PR
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
37%
平局
33%
客胜
30%
进球数
Over 1.5
66%
Under 1.5
34%
Over 2.5
38%
Under 2.5
62%
Over 3.5
18%
Under 3.5
82%
双重机会
主胜或平局
70%
客胜或平局
63%
非平局
67%
双方进球
是
46%
否
54%
关键因素
- Only 37% of Athletico PR's usual goal threat is available, missing key players like Kevin Viveros (8 goals/1 assist), Gastón Benavídez (0 goals/4 assists), Lucas Esquivel (1 goal/3 assists), and Dudu (1 goal/1 assist)
- Vasco da Gama averages 1.38 goals per game at home, while Athletico PR concedes an average of 2.5 goals per away game
- The mathematical analysis predicts a 37% probability for a Vasco da Gama home win and a 33% probability for a draw
风险因素
- Only 69% of Vasco da Gama's usual starting lineup strength is available, missing key players like Cuiabano (2 goals/3 assists), David (2 goals/2 assists), Cauan Barros (3 goals/0 assists), and Paulo Henrique (0 goals/2 assists)
- Vasco da Gama's current goal production is stagnating, with an average of 1.2 goals recently compared to the season average of 1.4 goals
概述
Vasco da Gama (14th place, 17 points) host Athletico PR (5th place, 23 points) in Serie A
The match takes place on May 11, 2026, 12:30 AM
Athletico PR is in a Europa-Cup spot, while Vasco da Gama is fighting against relegation
近期状态
Vasco da Gama has a form of L-D-W-L-D across all competitions (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
This corresponds to 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last five matches
The last match ended in a 2-2 draw against Flamengo
Athletico PR shows a form of L-W-L-W-D across all competitions
This includes 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five games
The last match ended in a 0-0 draw against Grêmio
Vasco da Gama's goal production is stagnating (averaging 1.2 goals), while the season average is 1.4 goals
Athletico PR consistently scores (averaging 1.5 goals per game)
统计数据
Vasco da Gama has scored an average of 1.43 goals per game this season and conceded 1.5 goals
The team has kept 0 clean sheets
In home games, Vasco da Gama scored an average of 1.38 goals and conceded 1.12 goals
Athletico PR has scored an average of 1.43 goals per game this season and conceded 1.07 goals
Athletico PR has kept 4 clean sheets
In away games, Athletico PR scored an average of 1.25 goals and conceded 2.5 goals
Vasco da Gama has seen both teams score in 12 games and over 2.5 goals in 9 games
Athletico PR has seen both teams score in 7 games and over 2.5 goals in 7 games
历史交锋
In 2 head-to-head matches, the record is even
Both teams have secured one win each, with no draws
Vasco da Gama and Athletico PR have each scored 2 goals
Vasco da Gama won the last encounter 2-1 on August 27, 2024
关键球员
For Vasco da Gama, José Luis Rodríguez (2 goals, 3 assists) with rising form, Andrés Gómez (2 goals, 2 assists) with stable form, and Thiago Mendes (2 goals, 1 assist) with stable form are key players
For Athletico PR, Stiven Mendoza (4 goals, 0 assists) with stable form, Luiz Gustavo (2 goals, 0 assists) with declining form, and João Cruz (0 goals, 2 assists) with rising form are noteworthy
门将
Léo Jardim is the goalkeeper for Vasco da Gama and has 0 clean sheets this season
Santos is the goalkeeper for Athletico PR and has achieved 4 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Vasco da Gama scored an average of 1.38 goals and conceded 1.12 goals in home matches
Athletico PR scored an average of 1.25 goals and conceded 2.5 goals in away matches