Serie A
Santos - Coritiba
05/17/2026, 02:00 PM
预期进球
1.3
2.1
0.8
1:0
15%0:0
14%1:1
14%2:0
11%2:1
8%xG 分解
Santos
Coritiba
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
48%
平局
32%
客胜
20%
进球数
Over 1.5
63%
Under 1.5
37%
Over 2.5
34%
Under 2.5
66%
Over 3.5
16%
Under 3.5
84%
双重机会
主胜或平局
80%
客胜或平局
52%
非平局
68%
双方进球
是
40%
否
60%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Santos with 48% probability
- Santos shows defensive improvement with an average of 1.2 goals conceded recently compared to 1.57 for the season
- Coritiba has a more vulnerable away defense, conceding an average of 1.44 goals per game
风险因素
- Coritiba recorded an average of only 3.0 shots on target in their last 5 games
- The data availability regarding direct historical head-to-head matches is limited
- The model predicts a draw with a probability of 32%
概述
Santos (15th place, 18 points) host Coritiba (10th place, 20 points) in a Serie A match
The game is scheduled for May 17, 2026, 4:00 PM
Santos is in the lower part of the table, while Coritiba is in mid-table
A win would be important for Santos to widen the gap from the relegation zone
近期状态
Santos' form across all competitions is WLDDW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Santos recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 games
Their most recent result was a win
Coritiba's form across all competitions is DWLLD
Coritiba achieved 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5 games
Their most recent result was a draw
Santos shows better form with 2 wins in their last 5 matches compared to Coritiba
统计数据
Santos scores an average of 1.40 goals per game and concedes 1.47 goals this season
At home, Santos averages 1.33 goals scored and 0.89 goals conceded per home game
Coritiba scores an average of 1.20 goals and concedes 1.27 goals per game
Away from home, Coritiba averages 1.22 goals scored and 1.44 goals conceded per away game
Santos kept 4 clean sheets this season, and Coritiba also recorded 4
11 of Santos' games ended with both teams scoring, compared to 7 games for Coritiba
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 8 of Santos' matches and in 5 of Coritiba's matches
历史交锋
The provided dataset does not list any historical head-to-head matches between Santos and Coritiba
关键球员
For Santos, the attacking forces Neymar, Benjamín Rollheiser, and Moisés are crucial
Neymar scored 4 goals and 2 assists in 7 season appearances with an average rating of 7.38
Benjamín Rollheiser scored 3 times in 12 season appearances with a rating of 6.94
Moisés contributed 2 goals and 1 assist in 11 games with a rating of 6.69
Coritiba's offense is led by Breno Lopes with 5 goals and 1 assist in 12 season appearances
Josué provided 5 assists in 14 games
Joaquín Lavega scored 4 times in 14 season appearances
Not selected: Gabriel Barbosa (4 goals/2 assists) and Álvaro Barreal (2 goals/0 assists) for Santos
Not selected: Lucas Ronier (1 goal/2 assists) and Tinga (0 goals/2 assists) for Coritiba
门将
Santos' goalkeeper, Gabriel Brazão, recorded 4 clean sheets this season
Coritiba's goalkeeper Pedro Rangel also has 4 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Santos shows a stronger defense at home, with an average of 0.89 goals conceded per home game
Coritiba concedes an average of 1.44 goals per away game
No specific data is available for weather-related or stadium-specific influences