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Serie A

Chapecoense - Remo

05/17/2026, 09:30 PM

2 : 3
预期进球
Chapecoense
1.3
Total xG
2.4
Remo
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

11%

1:0

10%

2:1

9%

0:1

8%
xG 分解
CHAREM

Chapecoense

小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.12
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.08
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
-0.08
Yannick Bolasie未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
主场表现强势 (场均1.6球 vs 总体1.1球)

Remo

防守实力 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.69
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.02
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.01
G. Pereira Taliari未进大名单 (3球, 0助攻)
18%进球产出缺失 (仅81%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

40%

平局

31%

客胜

29%

进球数

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

29%

Over 2.5

43%

Under 2.5

57%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

78%

双重机会

主胜或平局

71%

客胜或平局

60%

非平局

69%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • Mathematical prediction: Chapecoense has the highest win probability at 40%
  • Remo's weak away defense: Remo concedes an average of 2.29 goals per away game
  • Chapecoense's poor form: The team has remained winless in their last 5 games (4 losses, 1 draw)
风险因素
  • Chapecoense's declining goal production: recently 0.8 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.08 goals
  • Chapecoense's low shots on target: averaged 2.8 shots on target in their last 5 games
  • High draw probability: The mathematical model predicts a draw probability of 31%
概述

Chapecoense (20th place, 9 points) host Remo (19th place, 12 points) in a Serie A bottom-of-the-table clash. The match is on May 17, 2026, 11:30 PM. Both teams are in the relegation zone and desperately need points.

近期状态

Chapecoense is in poor form with LLLLD in their last five games, including four losses and one draw. Their last match ended in a draw. Remo shows slightly better form with DLLWD, which includes one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches. Remo also drew their last game.

统计数据

Chapecoense scores an average of 1.0 goals per game and concedes 1.93 goals. At home, they average 1.0 goals scored and 1.55 goals conceded. Both teams scored in 9 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 6 games. Remo scores an average of 1.07 goals per game and concedes 1.67 goals. Away from home, they average 1.0 goals scored and 2.29 goals conceded. Both teams scored in 8 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 6 games.

历史交锋

No data is available for head-to-head matches between Chapecoense and Remo.

关键球员

For Chapecoense, Ênio (Attacker, 1 goal, average rating 7.3), Neto Pessoa (Attacker, 1 goal, average rating 6.74), and Marcinho (Attacker, 1 goal, 1 assist in last 5 games, average rating 6.67) are key. For Remo, Alef Manga (Attacker, 4 goals, 3 assists, average rating 6.97), Vitor Bueno (Midfielder, 2 goals, 1 assist, average rating 7.08), and Jajá (Attacker, 2 goals, 1 assist, average rating 6.72) stand out.

门将

Chapecoense's goalkeeper Anderson has one clean sheet this season. Remo's goalkeeper Marcelo Rangel also achieved one clean sheet this season.

影响因素

Chapecoense shows a slightly improved defense at home, conceding an average of 1.55 goals. Remo, on the other hand, has a defensive weakness away from home, conceding an average of 2.29 goals per away game.

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