Serie A
Bahia - Grêmio
05/17/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.2
0.8
1:1
14%1:0
14%0:0
13%2:0
10%2:1
9%xG 分解
Bahia
Grêmio
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
47%
平局
31%
客胜
21%
进球数
Over 1.5
66%
Under 1.5
34%
Over 2.5
37%
Under 2.5
63%
Over 3.5
18%
Under 3.5
82%
双重机会
主胜或平局
79%
客胜或平局
53%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
44%
否
56%
关键因素
- Favorites: The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Bahia with 47%
- Home Advantage vs. Away Weakness: Bahia with stable home form, while Grêmio concedes an average of 2.75 goals per away game
- Head-to-Head Dominance: Bahia has won 3 out of 4 direct duels against Grêmio, with a goal aggregate of 7:1
风险因素
- Grêmio's Lack of Shots: Grêmio averaged only 2.2 shots on target in their last 5 games
- Grêmio's Away Defense: Grêmio concedes an average of 2.75 goals per away game
概述
Bahia (6th place, 22 points) hosts Grêmio (17th place, 17 points) in a Serie A match in the Campeonato Brasileiro
The game is scheduled for May 17, 2026, 8:00 PM
Bahia aims to solidify its position in the upper half of the table, while Grêmio battles to escape the relegation zone
近期状态
Bahia's recent form in all competitions is WLDDL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
This includes 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
Grêmio's recent form in all competitions is DLWDL
This includes 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
Both teams show similar current form with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last five games respectively
统计数据
Bahia averages 1.43 goals scored and 1.29 goals conceded per game this season
At home, Bahia scores an average of 1.38 goals and concedes 1 goal per game
Grêmio averages 1 goal scored and 1.13 goals conceded per game this season
Grêmio scores 1 goal and concedes 2.75 goals per away game
Bahia has kept 4 clean sheets this season, Grêmio 5
Both teams scored in 9 of Bahia's matches and 7 of Grêmio's matches
Over 2.5 goals occurred in 8 of Bahia's matches and 5 of Grêmio's matches
历史交锋
In 4 direct duels, Bahia has won 3 times, Grêmio once
There have been 0 draws
Bahia scored a total of 7 goals, Grêmio 1 goal
The last match on October 19, 2025, ended in a 4:0 home win for Bahia
Bahia has been the more dominant team in recent encounters
关键球员
For Bahia, Luciano Juba (7 goals, 1 assist) and Willian José (3 goals, 1 assist) are key attackers
Everton Ribeiro has contributed 3 assists this season
Jean Lucas (2 goals/2 assists) and Cristian Olivera (1 goal/1 assist) are not nominated
For Grêmio, Carlos Vinícius is the main goal threat with 7 goals this season
José Enamorado has provided 2 assists, Erick Noriega 1 goal and 1 assist
Francis Amuzu (1 goal/2 assists), Gustavo Martins (0 goals/2 assists), and Juan Nardoni (1 goal/1 assist) are not nominated
门将
Bahia's goalkeeper Léo Vieira has a season average rating of 7.36
Bahia has achieved 4 clean sheets this season
Grêmio's goalkeeper Weverton has a season average rating of 7.04 and shows a rising form trend
Grêmio has kept 5 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Bahia's home performance shows they score an average of 1.38 goals and concede 1 goal per game
Grêmio's away performance is challenging, with an average of 1 goal scored and 2.75 goals conceded per away game