Serie A
Internacional - Vasco da Gama
05/16/2026, 09:30 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.3
1.1
1:1
15%0:0
12%1:0
11%0:1
10%2:1
8%xG 分解
Internacional
Vasco da Gama
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
36%
平局
32%
客胜
32%
进球数
Over 1.5
68%
Under 1.5
32%
Over 2.5
39%
Under 2.5
61%
Over 3.5
19%
Under 3.5
81%
双重机会
主胜或平局
68%
客胜或平局
64%
非平局
68%
双方进球
是
47%
否
53%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a high probability (68%) for a home win or a draw
- Internacional shows a positive form trend, scoring more frequently recently (1.8) than their season average (1.1)
- Recent head-to-head matches favor Vasco da Gama, who last won 5:1 and have an overall goal difference of 8:4
风险因素
- Vasco da Gama concedes an average of 2.0 goals per away game
- Vasco da Gama's goal production has recently slowed (1.2) compared to their season average (1.4)
- The model predicts only a 47% chance for both teams to score
概述
Internacional (14th place, 18 points) host Vasco da Gama (8th place, 20 points)
Serie A match on May 16, 2026, 6:30 PM
Internacional is in the lower half of the table
Vasco da Gama is in the upper mid-table
近期状态
Internacional's form across all competitions is "DLDWD"
This corresponds to 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last five matches
Vasco da Gama's form across all competitions is "DWLDW"
This includes 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five matches
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Internacional averaged 1.0 goals scored and 1.14 goals conceded in home games
Vasco da Gama averaged 1.5 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded in away games
Internacional recorded 8 matches this season where both teams scored
Vasco da Gama had 12 matches where both teams scored
Internacional played over 2.5 goals 5 times, while Vasco da Gama played over 2.5 goals 9 times
历史交锋
In 4 head-to-head matches, Internacional secured 1 win and Vasco da Gama had 2 wins
One match ended in a draw
The goal difference of 4:8 favors Vasco da Gama
The last encounter on November 28, 2025, ended with a 5:1 victory for Vasco da Gama
The away team has been dominant in recent encounters
关键球员
Alerrandro (Internacional): 2 season goals, 2 assists, 1 goal and 2 assists in last 5 games
Johan Carbonero (Internacional): 2 season goals, 1 assist, 1 goal in last 5 games
Alexandro Bernabei (Internacional): 3 season goals, 2 goals in last 5 games
José Luis Rodríguez (Vasco da Gama): 2 season goals, 4 assists, 1 goal and 2 assists in last 5 games
Andrés Gómez (Vasco da Gama): 2 season goals, 2 assists, 2 goals in last 5 games
Robert Renan (Vasco da Gama): 1 season goal, 1 goal in last 5 games
Not nominated: Cuiabano (2 goals/3 assists), Thiago Mendes (3 goals/1 assist), David (2 goals/2 assists), Paulo Henrique (0 goals/2 assists)
门将
Sergio Rochet is Internacional's goalkeeper with 11 appearances and 4 clean sheets
Léo Jardim is Vasco da Gama's goalkeeper with 15 appearances and 1 clean sheet
影响因素
Internacional averaged 1.0 goals scored at home
Internacional's home defense conceded an average of 1.14 goals
Vasco da Gama averaged 1.5 goals scored away
Vasco da Gama's away defense conceded an average of 2.0 goals