Serie A
Atlético Mineiro - Mirassol
05/16/2026, 09:30 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.4
1.2
1:1
15%0:0
11%0:1
10%1:0
9%1:2
8%xG 分解
Atlético Mineiro
Mirassol
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
33%
平局
31%
客胜
36%
进球数
Over 1.5
71%
Under 1.5
29%
Over 2.5
43%
Under 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
22%
Under 3.5
78%
双重机会
主胜或平局
64%
客胜或平局
67%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
50%
否
50%
关键因素
- The mathematical model predicts a slight away favorite role for Mirassol with a 36% win probability
- Atlético Mineiro shows a declining trend in goal production (recent avg 0.8 goals vs. season avg 1.2 goals)
- Atlético Mineiro averages more shots on target (5.4) than Mirassol (4.0)
风险因素
- Mirassol concedes an average of 1.8 goals per away game
- Mirassol has not kept a single clean sheet this season
概述
Atlético Mineiro (13th place, 18 points) host Mirassol (18th place, 13 points) in Serie A
The match takes place on May 16, 2026, 6:30 PM
Atlético Mineiro aims to distance themselves from the lower mid-table, while Mirassol urgently needs points in the relegation battle
近期状态
Atlético Mineiro shows a form of LLLWD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) in their last 5 matches
This equates to 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses
Mirassol's form in their last 5 matches is LWLWD
This consists of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
统计数据
Atlético Mineiro scores an average of 1.2 goals per game and concedes 1.4 goals
Mirassol scores an average of 1.14 goals and concedes 1.43 goals per match
Atlético Mineiro kept 3 clean sheets, while Mirassol had none
Both teams scored in 6 of Atlético Mineiro's games and in 9 of Mirassol's games
Away from home, Mirassol concedes an average of 1.8 goals per game
历史交锋
In 2 head-to-head matches, Atlético Mineiro won 1 time, Mirassol 0 times, and there was 1 draw
The goal difference is 3:2 in favor of Atlético Mineiro
The last encounter was won by Atlético Mineiro at home with 1:0 on September 28, 2025
关键球员
For Atlético Mineiro, Mateo Cassierra (2 goals, 1 assist, rising form trend) and Tomás Cuello (2 goals, 1 assist, stable form) are important offensive players
Defender Renan Lodi contributed 2 assists and shows stable form
For Mirassol, Alesson is a key player with 4 assists and a rising form trend
Carlos Eduardo (1 goal, 1 assist, rising form trend) and Eduardo (2 goals, stable form) are also significant
门将
Everson, the goalkeeper for Atlético Mineiro, played 15 season games and kept 3 clean sheets
Walter, the goalkeeper for Mirassol, played 14 matches and has not kept a clean sheet this season
影响因素
Atlético Mineiro scores an average of 1.25 goals at home and concedes 1.38 goals
Mirassol scores 1.2 goals away and concedes an average of 1.8 goals
There is no specific data on stadium history or weather conditions