Bragantino (9th place, 20 points) host Vitória (13th place, 19 points) in Serie A

Match on May 17, 2026, 10:30 PM

Both teams are separated by just one point

A win could move the hosts closer to the top half of the table

Vitória could overtake their opponent with an away victory

The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 55% probability

A draw is calculated at 28% and an away win at 18%

Bragantino's last five games show a form of LWLWL

This translates to 2 wins and 3 losses

Vitória's last five games show a form of WDLWD

This means 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss

Bragantino is currently scoring more frequently (1.4) than their season average (1.1)

Vitória is also currently scoring more frequently (2.3) than their season average (1.4)

Bragantino averages 1.13 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded per game

Vitória averages 1.29 goals scored and 1.43 goals conceded per game

Bragantino kept 4 clean sheets, while Vitória achieved 5 clean sheets

Bragantino had both teams scoring in 7 games

Vitória also had both teams scoring in 7 games

Bragantino scored 1.1 goals per home game and conceded 0.8 goals

Vitória scored 1.2 goals per away game but conceded an average of 3.4 goals

In 4 head-to-head matches, Bragantino and Vitória each secured 2 wins

There were no draws in these encounters

Bragantino scored a total of 6 goals, while Vitória scored 3 goals

Bragantino won the last duel 4:0 on December 3, 2025

The recent record between the teams is even

Isidro Pitta is a key offensive player for Bragantino with 4 season goals and 1 assist, showing 3 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games with a rating of 7.35

Lucas Barbosa contributed 3 season goals and 1 assist, with 1 goal in his last 5 games

Juninho Capixaba, a defender, scored 2 season goals and provided 2 assists

For Vitória, Renê stands out with 3 season goals and 1 assist, scoring 3 goals and providing 1 assist in the last 5 games with a rating of 7.26

Erick is another important player with 2 season goals and 3 assists, showing 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games

Baralhas has contributed 2 season goals and 3 assists, with 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games

Tiago Volpi is Bragantino's goalkeeper, and Lucas Arcanjo is Vitória's

Bragantino has recorded 4 clean sheets this season

Vitória kept a clean sheet in 5 matches

Lucas Arcanjo shows stable form in the last 5 games with an average rating of 7.08

Bragantino scored an average of 1.1 goals at home and conceded 0.8 goals

Vitória scored 1.2 goals away and conceded 3.4 goals on average