Serie A
Flamengo - Palmeiras
05/24/2026, 12:00 AM
预期进球
1.2
2.2
0.9
1:1
15%0:0
13%1:0
12%0:1
9%2:0
9%xG 分解
Flamengo
Palmeiras
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
42%
平局
32%
客胜
26%
进球数
Over 1.5
66%
Under 1.5
34%
Over 2.5
37%
Under 2.5
63%
Over 3.5
18%
Under 3.5
82%
双重机会
主胜或平局
74%
客胜或平局
58%
非平局
68%
双方进球
是
45%
否
55%
关键因素
- Pipeline prediction: Flamengo favored with a home win probability of 42%
- Flamengo's strong offensive power at home (avg. 1.86 goals per game)
- Palmeiras' stagnating goal production in the last 5 games (avg. 1.0 goals) compared to their season average of 1.7 goals
风险因素
- Palmeiras averaged only 3.0 shots on target in their last 5 games
- The pipeline analysis predicts a draw with a probability of 32%
概述
Flamengo (2nd place, 31 points) host Palmeiras (1st place, 35 points) in Serie A
Top of the table clash on May 24, 2026, 1:00 AM
Flamengo aims to close the gap to the league leaders
近期状态
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Flamengo shows very good form across all competitions with WWDWD
The home team secured 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 games and is unbeaten
The last match ended in a draw (1-1 away against Athletico PR)
Palmeiras also has an unbeaten streak in their last 5 games (WWDDD)
The away team recorded 2 wins and 3 draws
Palmeiras last drew 1-1 at home against Cruzeiro
统计数据
Flamengo shows strong season performance with an average of 1.87 goals scored per game and only 0.87 goals conceded
At home, Flamengo is particularly defensively strong, conceding only 0.57 goals per home game
Flamengo kept 6 clean sheets in 15 season matches
Both teams scored in 8 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 9 games
Palmeiras also has a solid season with 1.63 goals scored per game and 0.81 goals conceded
Away from home, Palmeiras averages 1.57 goals scored and concedes 1.0 goal per game
Palmeiras recorded 5 clean sheets this season
Both teams scored in 11 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 8 games
历史交锋
In 4 direct encounters over the last two years, Flamengo won 2 matches
Palmeiras did not secure any wins in this period, with 2 draws recorded
Flamengo scored 6 goals in these matches, while Palmeiras scored 3 goals
Flamengo won the last meeting on October 19, 2025, with a 3-2 score
Flamengo has been the dominant team in recent head-to-head clashes
关键球员
Flamengo's key players are Pedro, Samuel Lino, and Lucas Paquetá
Pedro, an attacker, scored 9 goals and provided 3 assists this season and shows rising form with 4 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games (rating 7.55)
Samuel Lino, also an attacker, delivered 2 goals and 5 assists this season, with 2 assists in the last 5 games (rating 6.89)
Lucas Paquetá, a midfielder, contributed 3 goals and 0 assists, with 2 goals in the last 5 games in stable form (rating 7.24)
For Palmeiras, José Manuel López, Andreas Pereira, and Allan are important
José Manuel López, an attacker, scored 5 goals and 3 assists this season and 2 goals in the last 5 games (rating 6.81)
Andreas Pereira, a midfielder, is an important playmaker with 1 goal and 10 assists, with 1 assist in the last 5 games (rating 6.94)
Allan, an attacker, has 3 goals and 1 assist this season and 1 assist in the last 5 games (rating 7.06)
门将
Flamengo's goalkeeper Agustín Rossi made 15 appearances with an average rating of 7.05
He achieved 6 clean sheets this season
Palmeiras' goalkeeper Carlos Miguel played 16 games with an average rating of 7.04
He kept 5 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Flamengo shows strong home performance with an average of 1.86 home goals scored and only 0.57 goals conceded
Palmeiras scores an average of 1.57 goals and concedes 1.0 goal per away game