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Serie A

Remo - Athletico PR

05/24/2026, 07:00 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Remo
1.0
Total xG
2.0
Athletico PR
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

15%

1:0

12%

0:1

11%

2:1

7%
xG 分解
REMAP

Remo

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.71倍)
-0.66
小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
+0.29
排名劣势 (第19位 vs 第5位, 相差14位)
-0.17
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.10
状态上升 (1.6 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
+0.10
G. Pereira Taliari未进大名单 (3球, 0助攻)
15%进球产出缺失 (仅78%可用)

Athletico PR

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.64倍)
-0.38
小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
+0.21
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.18
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.12
排名优势 (第5位 vs 第19位, 相差14位)
+0.07
防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.02
Lucas Esquivel未进大名单 (1球, 3助攻)
João Cruz替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
Luiz Gustavo未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.8球 vs 总体1.4球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

34%

平局

34%

客胜

32%

进球数

Over 1.5

62%

Under 1.5

38%

Over 2.5

33%

Under 2.5

67%

Over 3.5

15%

Under 3.5

85%

双重机会

主胜或平局

68%

客胜或平局

66%

非平局

66%

双方进球

42%

58%

关键因素
  • Athletico PR's blatant away defensive weakness, conceding an average of 2.75 goals per game
  • Remo's positive offensive development, currently scoring 1.6 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.3
  • The mathematical model predicts a very balanced match with a 34% home win and a 34% draw probability
风险因素
  • Remo's generally weak defense with an average of 1.69 goals conceded per game throughout the season
  • The low mathematical probability of 33% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score
  • The numerous injury-related absences on both sides could affect squad depth and cohesion
概述

Remo (19th place, 15 points) host Athletico PR (5th place, 24 points)

Serie A match on May 24, 2026, 8:00 PM

The home team is fighting against relegation, while the visitors are competing for the top spots

The mathematical analysis shows a 34% home win probability and also 34% for a draw

Athletico PR has an away win probability of 32%

近期状态

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Remo shows a form of LLWDW (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses)

In their last five matches, there were two wins, one draw, and two losses

Remo's last three matches were a 3-2 win against Chapecoense, a 1-1 draw against Palmeiras, and a 2-1 win against Botafogo

The current trend in goal production is positive, with an average of 1.6 goals compared to the season average of 1.3

Athletico PR has a form of LWDLD (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses)

In their last five matches, there was one win, two draws, and two losses

Athletico PR's last three matches were a 1-1 draw against Flamengo, a 0-1 loss against Vasco da Gama, and a 0-0 draw against Grêmio

Athletico PR's goal production is currently stagnant at 1.0 goals, compared to the season average of 1.4

统计数据

Remo scored an average of 1.19 goals per game this season and conceded 1.69 goals per game

At home, Remo scored an average of 1.12 goals and conceded 1.12 goals

They kept one clean sheet in a league match

Both teams scored in nine matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in seven matches

Athletico PR scored an average of 1.31 goals per game and conceded 1.06 goals per game

Away, Athletico PR scored an average of 1.25 goals but conceded a high 2.75 goals

They kept four clean sheets in league matches

Both teams scored in eight matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in seven matches

历史交锋

No data available for previous head-to-head encounters

关键球员

For Remo, Alef Manga is an important offensive force with 4 goals and 3 assists in 16 appearances

Jajá contributed 3 goals and 1 assist in 13 appearances, with an average rating of 6.73

Vitor Bueno shows a rising form trend with 2 goals and 2 assists in 9 appearances and a rating of 7.08

For Athletico PR, Kevin Viveros is the top scorer with 8 goals and 1 assist in 15 appearances

Stiven Mendoza contributed 5 goals in 16 appearances

Gastón Benavídez is an important assist provider with 5 assists in 13 appearances

门将

Marcelo Rangel of Remo has kept zero clean sheets in 16 appearances and has an average rating of 7.01

Santos of Athletico PR has kept four clean sheets in 16 appearances with an average rating of 6.81

影响因素

Remo concedes an average of 1.12 goals at home, which shows an improved defense compared to the 2.25 goals conceded away

Athletico PR concedes an average of 2.75 goals away, while their home defense is significantly more stable with 0.5 goals conceded per game

No specific stadium or weather data is available

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