Serie A
Grêmio - Santos
05/23/2026, 10:00 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.4
1.2
1:1
15%0:0
10%1:0
9%0:1
9%2:1
8%xG 分解
Grêmio
Santos
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
35%
平局
31%
客胜
34%
进球数
Over 1.5
72%
Under 1.5
28%
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
23%
Under 3.5
77%
双重机会
主胜或平局
66%
客胜或平局
65%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
51%
否
49%
关键因素
- Similar Form Curves: Both teams show an identical record of 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses from their last five matches
- Balanced Prediction: Mathematical analysis predicts a very tight outcome with a home win probability of 35% and an away win probability of 34%
- Home Defensive Strength vs. Away Weakness: Grêmio concedes only an average of 0.55 goals per game at home, while Santos allows 2.0 goals per game away
风险因素
- Grêmio's low shot efficiency: Grêmio recorded an average of 2.2 shots on target in their last 5 games
- Santos' squad impact: Only 68% of Santos' usual goal threat is available, with Neymar (4G/2A), Benjamín Rollheiser (3G/0A), Álvaro Barreal (2G/0A) not in the lineup
- Santos' vulnerable away defense: Santos concedes an average of 2.0 goals per game away from home
概述
Grêmio (15th place, 18 points) hosts Santos (16th place, 18 points) in Serie A. The match takes place on May 23, 2026, 11:00 PM. This is a direct encounter between two teams with identical points in the lower part of the table.
近期状态
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Grêmio's last five games show a form of LWDLD
This corresponds to 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
The last result was a draw (1:1 against Bahia)
Santos shows a form of LDDWL in their last five matches
This means 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
The last encounter ended in a loss (0:3 against Coritiba)
统计数据
Grêmio scores an average of 1.0 goals per game and concedes 1.13 goals per game this season
At home, the average is 1.0 goals scored and 0.55 goals conceded
The team kept 5 clean sheets
Santos scores an average of 1.31 goals per game and concedes 1.56 goals per game
Away from home, Santos scores 1.29 goals and concedes 2.0 goals per game
Santos managed 4 clean sheets
Over 2.5 goals occurred in 5 Grêmio games and 9 Santos games
Both teams scored in 8 Grêmio games and 11 Santos games
历史交锋
There have been a total of 2 head-to-head matches between Grêmio and Santos
Grêmio secured 1 win, while Santos had 0 wins
1 match ended in a draw
The goal difference is 2:1 in favor of Grêmio
The last direct confrontation on October 02, 2025, ended 1:1
Grêmio has been the more dominant team in recent head-to-head encounters
关键球员
For Grêmio, Carlos Vinícius stands out with 7 goals and 0 assists in 15 season appearances and an average rating of 6.91, his form is declining
Viery scored 1 goal and 0 assists in 11 season appearances, with an average rating of 6.93 and rising form
Cristian Pavón has a rating of 7.10 in 15 appearances and his form is stable
For Santos, Gabriel Barbosa is an important player with 4 goals and 2 assists in 10 season appearances and an average rating of 7.13, his form is stable
Adonis Frías scored 1 goal and 0 assists in 7 season appearances with a rating of 6.88 and rising form
Gabriel Bontempo recorded 0 goals and 1 assist in 14 season appearances with a rating of 6.83, his form is rising
门将
Grêmio's goalkeeper, Weverton, has an average rating of 7.07 in 16 season appearances
He managed to keep 5 clean sheets
For Santos, Gabriel Brazão is in goal, with an average rating of 6.68 in 14 season appearances
Gabriel Brazão achieved 4 clean sheets
影响因素
Grêmio has scored an average of 1.0 goals in home games and conceded 0.55 goals
Santos scores an average of 1.29 goals in away games and concedes 2.0 goals