Serie A
Palmeiras - Chapecoense
05/31/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.7
2.3
0.6
1:0
16%2:0
14%1:1
12%0:0
11%2:1
9%xG 分解
Palmeiras
Chapecoense
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
63%
平局
26%
客胜
11%
进球数
Over 1.5
69%
Under 1.5
31%
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
20%
Under 3.5
80%
双重机会
主胜或平局
89%
客胜或平局
37%
非平局
74%
双方进球
是
39%
否
61%
关键因素
- Pipeline Prediction: Mathematical analysis projects a home win probability of 63% for Palmeiras
- Critical Absences for Palmeiras: Only 35% of usual starting XI strength available - not lined up: Andreas Pereira (1G/10A), José Manuel López (6G/3A), Jhon Arias (3G/0A), Gustavo Gómez (3G/0A), Ramón Sosa (2G/1A)
- Form and League Position: Palmeiras is top of the league and unbeaten in their last 5 games, while Chapecoense is in crisis at the bottom
风险因素
- Chapecoense concedes an average of 3.00 goals per away game
- Palmeiras' goal production has stagnated with an average of 1.4 goals recently, compared to a season average of 1.8
概述
Palmeiras (1st place, 38 points) host Chapecoense (20th place, 9 points) at the Allianz Parque
Serie A match on May 31, 2026, 8:00 PM
Palmeiras aims to extend their league lead, while Chapecoense urgently needs points in the relegation battle
The mathematical analysis considers Palmeiras as favorites with a home win probability of 63%
近期状态
Palmeiras' form in the last five matches is WDDDW
This corresponds to 2 wins and 3 draws
Palmeiras' last match ended in a win
Chapecoense shows a form of LLDLL
This means 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses in their last five games
Chapecoense has suffered two consecutive losses recently
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Palmeiras scores an average of 1.67 goals and concedes 0.67 goals in home games
This season, Palmeiras has kept a total of 6 clean sheets
Chapecoense scores an average of 1.00 goal and concedes 3.00 goals in away games
Chapecoense has achieved 1 clean sheet this season
The venue statistics show an average of 2.2 total goals per game
Both teams scored in 80% of the matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 40%
历史交锋
There are no historical head-to-head matches between Palmeiras and Chapecoense in the available data
关键球员
For Palmeiras, Allan is an important offensive player with 4 season goals and 2 assists, showing rising form
Marlon Freitas contributes to midfield with 2 season goals and 1 assist, displaying stable form
Felipe Anderson scored 1 goal in 3 of 5 games, showing stable form
For Chapecoense, Bruno Pacheco showed rising form with 3 assists in 4 of the last 5 games
Yannick Bolasie contributed 1 goal and 1 assist in 5 games, with stable form
Carvalheira scored 1 goal in 4 of 5 games and shows stable form
门将
Palmeiras' goalkeeper is Marcelo Lomba, who has no appearances this season
Palmeiras' team recorded 6 clean sheets this season
Chapecoense's goalkeeper is Anderson with 5 season appearances
Chapecoense's team achieved 1 clean sheet this season
影响因素
Palmeiras benefits from a home advantage with 1.67 goals scored and 0.67 goals conceded in home matches
Chapecoense shows a clear away weakness with an average of 3.00 goals conceded per away game
The Allianz Parque venue averages 2.2 total goals per game