Serie A
Cruzeiro - Fluminense
05/31/2026, 11:30 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.2
1.0
1:1
15%0:0
13%1:0
12%0:1
10%2:0
8%xG 分解
Cruzeiro
Fluminense
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
39%
平局
33%
客胜
28%
进球数
Over 1.5
65%
Under 1.5
35%
Over 2.5
36%
Under 2.5
64%
Over 3.5
17%
Under 3.5
83%
双重机会
主胜或平局
72%
客胜或平局
61%
非平局
67%
双方进球
是
45%
否
55%
关键因素
- Mathematical Analysis: Pipeline predictions give Cruzeiro the highest win probability at 39%
- Cruzeiro's Home Strength: The team has secured 3 wins and 1 loss in their last five home games and has historically dominated home encounters
- Form Discrepancy: Cruzeiro shows a rising form of WLWDW, while Fluminense has a mixed record of WLDWL
风险因素
- Fluminense Goal Threat: Only 84% of the usual starting XI's goal threat is available, with Luciano Acosta (3G/4A), Agustín Canobbio (4G/1A), and Nonato (1G/1A) not in the lineup
- Fluminense Away Defense: The team concedes an average of 2.0 goals per away game
- Fluminense Goal Production: Recent goal production has faltered (1.2 goals/game), contrasting with a season average of 1.6 goals/game
概述
Cruzeiro (11th place, 23 points) host Fluminense (4th place, 30 points) at Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
Serie A match on June 1, 2026, 1:30 AM
Fluminense aims to maintain its top-4 spot, while Cruzeiro seeks to climb the mid-table
The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 39%, a draw of 33%, and an away win of 28%
1.18 goals are expected for Cruzeiro and 0.97 goals for Fluminense
近期状态
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Cruzeiro shows a form of WLWDW in their last five matches across all competitions
This includes 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss
Fluminense has a form of WLDWL in their last five matches across all competitions
This corresponds to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
Cruzeiro won their last game, while Fluminense lost their last game
Cruzeiro's current streak is one win
统计数据
Cruzeiro averages 1.36 goals scored per home game
Cruzeiro averages 1.0 goals conceded per home game
Fluminense averages 1.67 goals scored per away game
Fluminense averages 2.0 goals conceded per away game
Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto sees an average of 3.0 total goals per game
Both teams scored (BTTS) in 60% of matches at the stadium
Over 2.5 goals occurred in 80% of matches at the stadium
Cruzeiro kept 4 clean sheets this season, with 3 of them at home
Fluminense kept 3 clean sheets this season, with 1 of them away
历史交锋
There have been 4 head-to-head matches in history between the teams
Cruzeiro won 2 of these encounters, Fluminense won 1, and 1 match ended in a draw
Cruzeiro scored 4 goals, Fluminense scored 1 goal
The last encounter on November 9, 2025, ended in a 0-0 draw
Cruzeiro has been more dominant in recent direct duels
关键球员
For Cruzeiro, Keny Arroyo shows a rising form trend of +0.25, with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games
Christian recorded 0 goals and 2 assists in the last 5 games, with a declining form trend of -0.32
Matheus Pereira contributed 0 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games, his form trend is stable
For Fluminense, John Kennedy scored 3 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games, showing a rising form trend of +0.24
Jefferson Savarino scored 2 goals and 0 assists in the last 5 games, with a rising form trend of +0.22
Guilherme Arana provided 0 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games, his form trend is stable
门将
Cruzeiro's goalkeeper Otávio Costa registered 4 clean sheets this season
Fluminense's goalkeeper Fábio achieved 3 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Cruzeiro averages 1.36 goals scored at home and concedes 1.0 goals per game
Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto has a history of averaging 3.0 goals per game
Both teams scored in 60% of matches at the stadium, and over 2.5 goals occurred in 80%