Serie A
Santos - Vitória
05/30/2026, 11:00 PM
预期进球
1.5
2.3
0.8
1:1
14%1:0
13%0:0
12%2:0
11%2:1
9%xG 分解
Santos
Vitória
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
51%
平局
30%
客胜
19%
进球数
Over 1.5
68%
Under 1.5
32%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
20%
Under 3.5
80%
双重机会
主胜或平局
81%
客胜或平局
49%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
45%
否
55%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis favors Santos with a home win probability of 51%
- Vitória conceded an average of 3.80 goals per away game, highlighting defensive weaknesses
- Santos averaged 3.8 shots on target in recent matches, compared to Vitória's 3.6
风险因素
- Santos suffered defeats in their last two matches
- Santos has a long list of injured players, including Neymar (Calf Injury)
- Vitória has an extensive list of injured or suspended players
概述
Santos (17th place, 18 points) hosts Vitória (11th place, 22 points) in Serie A. The match takes place on May 31, 2026, 12:00 AM at Estádio Urbano Caldeira. Santos is battling relegation, while Vitória is in the mid-table
近期状态
Santos shows a form of DDWLL in their last 5 league games (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses)
They recently suffered two consecutive defeats
Vitória has a form of LWDLW in their last 5 league games (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses)
Vitória won their last match
统计数据
Santos scored an average of 1.35 goals per game this season and conceded 1.65 goals
At home, Santos averages 1.33 goals scored and 1.22 goals conceded per home game
Vitória averages 1.25 goals per game for the season and concedes 1.38 goals
Away from home, Vitória concedes an average of 3.80 goals per away game while scoring 1.20 goals
At Estádio Urbano Caldeira, an average of 2.6 goals per game were scored in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 2 of 5 matches, and 2 of 5 matches ended with over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
In 2 head-to-head matches, each team secured 1 win and there were no draws
Santos scored 1 goal and Vitória scored 1 goal overall
The last encounter on October 21, 2025, ended with a 0-1 away win for Vitória
Historically, both teams are evenly matched
关键球员
Santos' key players include Gabriel Barbosa with 6 goals and 2 assists, holding a season rating of 7.22
Benjamín Rollheiser (3 goals, 0 assists) was not nominated
Gabriel Bontempo contributed 2 assists and shows rising form with a delta of 0.28
Álvaro Barreal scored 2 season goals, but his form is declining (-0.22)
For Vitória, Renê is in strong rising form (+0.35) with 4 goals and 1 assist
Ramon (2 goals, 0 assists) was not nominated
Erick has contributed 2 goals and 4 assists and shows stable form
Baralhas scored 2 goals and 3 assists, but his form is declining (-0.21)
门将
Santos' goalkeeper Gabriel Brazão has achieved 4 clean sheets in 15 season appearances, with 3 of them at home
Vitória's goalkeeper Gabriel has achieved a total of 6 clean sheets in 3 season appearances, all of which were in home games and none away
影响因素
Santos has a home advantage with 1.33 goals scored and 1.22 goals conceded per home game
Santos' home record includes 3 clean sheets
The Estádio Urbano Caldeira has seen an average of 2.6 goals per game in the last 5 matches
The stadium surface is grass