Serie A
Flamengo - Coritiba
05/30/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.6
2.5
0.9
1:1
13%1:0
12%2:0
11%0:0
10%2:1
9%xG 分解
Flamengo
Coritiba
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
53%
平局
28%
客胜
19%
进球数
Over 1.5
72%
Under 1.5
28%
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
24%
Under 3.5
76%
双重机会
主胜或平局
81%
客胜或平局
47%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
48%
否
52%
关键因素
- Pipeline Prediction: The model favors Flamengo with a 53% win probability and 1.59 predicted home goals
- Flamengo's Home Strength: Flamengo scores an average of 1.86 goals per home game
- High-Scoring Venue: Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho averages 3.4 total goals per game in the last five matches, with 100% over 2.5
概述
Flamengo (2nd place, 31 points) host Coritiba (6th place, 26 points) at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho. The Serie A match takes place on May 30, 2026, 4:00 PM. Flamengo aim to close the gap on league leaders Palmeiras, while Coritiba seeks to consolidate its top 6 position.
近期状态
Flamengo's form in the last five games is WDWDL, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. Their last match ended in a loss.
Coritiba's form in the last five matches is LLDWW, which includes 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Coritiba has won their last two games consecutively.
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Flamengo averages 1.75 goals scored per game and concedes 1 goal per game over the season. At home, their scoring increases to an average of 1.86 goals per home game, while conceding 1 goal per home game.
Coritiba averages 1.41 goals scored per game and concedes 1.24 goals per game. Away from home, the team averages 1.4 goals per away game and concedes 1.3 goals per away game.
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho shows an average of 3.4 total goals per game in the last five matches. Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 games, and all 5 games had over 2.5 goals.
历史交锋
No head-to-head data for these two teams is available in the provided dataset.
关键球员
For Flamengo, Pedro stands out with 9 season goals and 3 assists, holding an average rating of 7.29. He recently scored 4 goals in 5 games with a rating of 7.48.
Samuel Lino is a key player with 2 goals and 5 assists, showing stable form with a rating of 7.19 in his last 5 games.
Léo Ortiz delivers a stable performance as a defender with a season rating of 7.01.
On Coritiba's side, Breno Lopes is the top scorer with 8 season goals and 1 assist, having scored 5 goals in his last 5 games, showing a strong rising form with a rating of 7.52.
Josué shines as the top assist provider with 1 goal and 7 assists this season, including 3 assists in his last 5 games and a stable rating of 7.19.
Joaquín Lavega contributes to the offense with 5 season goals and 1 assist, scoring 2 goals and providing 1 assist in his last 5 games with a stable rating of 6.84.
Not nominated for Flamengo: Gonzalo Plata (2G/2A), Guillermo Varela (0G/3A), Jorge Carrascal (2G/1A), Jorginho (2G/0A).
门将
Agustín Rossi for Flamengo has played 16 times this season and achieved 6 clean sheets.
Pedro Rangel for Coritiba has been in goal for 14 season games and recorded 5 clean sheets.
影响因素
Flamengo displays a strong offense at home, averaging 1.86 home goals and a home defense that concedes an average of 1.0 goals.
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho is known for high-scoring encounters, with an average of 3.4 goals per game. Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 matches, and all 5 matches had over 2.5 goals.