Serie A
Athletico PR - Mirassol
05/30/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.6
2.3
0.8
1:0
14%1:1
13%2:0
12%0:0
11%2:1
9%xG 分解
Athletico PR
Mirassol
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
55%
平局
28%
客胜
17%
进球数
Over 1.5
69%
Under 1.5
31%
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
20%
Under 3.5
80%
双重机会
主胜或平局
83%
客胜或平局
45%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
44%
否
56%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Athletico PR with 55% probability
- Athletico PR's home strength is evident with an average of 1.33 goals scored and 0.5 goals conceded per home game
- Mirassol's recent form is rated as negative, while Athletico PR's form is stable
风险因素
- Mirassol is missing key players, including Igor Formiga (3 goals/0 assists), accounting for 9% of the usual goal threat
- The mathematical analysis predicts only a 41% probability for over 2.5 goals
- Mirassol averaged 4.2 shots on target in their last 5 games
概述
Athletico PR (4th place, 27 points) host Mirassol (18th place, 16 points) at Arena de Baixada
Serie A match on May 30, 2026, 7:00 PM
Athletico PR is fighting for international spots, while Mirassol is battling relegation
近期状态
Athletico PR's form in the last five games is: WDLDW
The team achieved 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss
Mirassol's form in the last five games is LWDLW
This translates to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
统计数据
Athletico PR scores an average of 1.35 goals per game and concedes 1.06 goals per game this season
At home, Athletico PR is strong, averaging 1.33 goals scored and only 0.5 goals conceded per home game
Mirassol averages 1.13 goals scored and concedes 1.44 goals per game
Away from home, Mirassol is vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.0 goals per away game
Arena de Baixada sees an average of 2.6 goals per game
In 60% of the last 5 matches at the stadium, both teams scored, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 40%
历史交锋
The provided dataset does not list any previous head-to-head meetings between these two teams
关键球员
Key players for Athletico PR include Kevin Viveros, Stiven Mendoza, and Gastón Benavídez
Kevin Viveros scored 10 season goals and 1 assist, with an average rating of 7.04
Stiven Mendoza has 5 season goals, with a rating of 7.0
Gastón Benavídez contributed 5 assists and has an average rating of 6.95
For Mirassol, Alesson, Willian Machado, and Carlos Eduardo are notable
Alesson provided 4 assists this season with a rating of 6.86
Willian Machado scored 1 season goal and 1 assist, with a rating of 7.11
Carlos Eduardo recorded 1 season goal and 1 assist, with a rating of 6.75
门将
Athletico PR's goalkeeper, Santos, achieved 3 home clean sheets this season
Mirassol's goalkeeper, Walter, recorded no away clean sheets this season
影响因素
Arena de Baixada is the home ground for Athletico PR
Athletico PR shows strong home performance with an average of 1.33 goals scored and only 0.5 goals conceded
Mirassol struggles away from home with an average of 2.0 goals conceded per away game
The grass pitch at the stadium should not have a specific influence on the game