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Serie A

Bragantino - Internacional

05/31/2026, 02:00 PM

3 : 1
预期进球
Bragantino
1.3
Total xG
2.2
Internacional
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

1:0

12%

0:0

12%

2:0

9%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
BRAINT

Bragantino

防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
-0.50
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.25
排名优势 (第5位 vs 第14位, 相差9位)
+0.06
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
+0.03
Henry Mosquera未进大名单 (0球, 3助攻)

Internacional

最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.23
状态上升 (2 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.23
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.21
排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第5位, 相差9位)
-0.09
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.07
Alexandro Bernabei未进大名单 (4球, 1助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

45%

平局

31%

客胜

24%

进球数

Over 1.5

67%

Under 1.5

33%

Over 2.5

39%

Under 2.5

61%

Over 3.5

19%

Under 3.5

81%

双重机会

主胜或平局

76%

客胜或平局

55%

非平局

69%

双方进球

46%

54%

关键因素
  • Pipeline Favoritism: The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Bragantino with a 45% probability and 1.33 predicted home goals
  • Home Defensive Strength: Bragantino shows strong defensive performance at home, conceding only 0.8 goals per home game on average
  • Historical Head-to-Head: Internacional dominates direct comparisons with 3 wins in 4 matches and a goal difference of 12:5
概述

Bragantino (5th place, 26 points) host Internacional (14th place, 21 points) at Estádio Cicero de Souza Marques. This Serie A match takes place on May 31, 2026, 4:00 PM. Bragantino aims to consolidate its position in the upper half of the table, while Internacional seeks to distance itself from the relegation zone

近期状态

Bragantino shows mixed form with a LWLWW record in the last five games

The team recorded 3 wins and 2 losses

They recently secured two consecutive wins

Internacional had a DWDWL record in their last five matches

This equates to 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss

The last game resulted in a defeat

统计数据

Bragantino averages 1.29 goals scored per game and concedes an average of 1.06 goals

At home, Bragantino is defensively strong, with 1.3 home goals scored and only 0.8 home goals conceded per game

Internacional averages 1.18 goals scored per game and concedes 1.12 goals

Away from home, Internacional scores 1.12 goals per game and concedes 1.25 goals

Bragantino kept 6 clean sheets, Internacional 4 clean sheets

Both teams scored in 7 of Bragantino's games and 9 of Internacional's games

The venue averaged 3.0 goals per game

Both teams scored in 2 of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 of 5 games at this venue

历史交锋

In 4 head-to-head matches, Bragantino has not managed a win against Internacional

Internacional won 3 of these matches, with 1 ending in a draw

The goal difference of 12:5 clearly favors Internacional

The last encounter on December 7, 2025, ended in a 3-1 victory for Internacional

关键球员

Bragantino's offense is led by Isidro Pitta, who contributed 5 goals and 2 assists in 16 appearances

Lucas Barbosa scored 4 goals and 1 assist in 15 games

Midfielder Gabriel contributed 2 goals in 15 appearances

For Internacional, Johan Carbonero is an important attacker with 4 goals and 3 assists in 16 games

Alerrandro recorded 3 goals and 3 assists in 16 appearances

Alan Patrick contributed 3 goals in 13 games

门将

Bragantino's goalkeeper Tiago Volpi started in 10 season games and even scored 1 goal

The team recorded 6 clean sheets

Internacional's goalkeeper Anthoni played in 6 season games

The team managed 4 clean sheets

影响因素

Bragantino benefits from a home advantage with 1.3 home goals scored and only 0.8 home goals conceded per game

Matches at Estádio Cicero de Souza Marques average 3.0 goals per game

Both teams scored in 40% of games at the venue, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 60%

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