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Serie A

Remo - São Paulo

05/31/2026, 11:30 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
Remo
1.0
Total xG
2.3
São Paulo
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

12%

0:1

11%

1:0

9%

1:2

8%
xG 分解
REMSP

Remo

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.64倍)
-0.67
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.27
排名劣势 (第19位 vs 第8位, 相差11位)
-0.13
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.04
Jajá未进大名单 (4球, 1助攻)
16%进球产出缺失 (仅93%可用)

São Paulo

排名优势 (第8位 vs 第19位, 相差11位)
+0.06
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.01
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
-0.01
Luciano未进大名单 (6球, 1助攻)
Wendell未进大名单 (0球, 3助攻)
Sabino未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
Damián Bobadilla未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
21%进球产出缺失 (仅68%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.4球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

29%

平局

32%

客胜

39%

进球数

Over 1.5

68%

Under 1.5

32%

Over 2.5

39%

Under 2.5

61%

Over 3.5

19%

Under 3.5

81%

双重机会

主胜或平局

61%

客胜或平局

71%

非平局

68%

双方进球

47%

53%

关键因素
  • Statistical Prediction: The pipeline forecast indicates a 39% probability for an away win for São Paulo
  • Season Performance: São Paulo is in 8th place with 25 points, while Remo is in 19th place with 15 points
  • Remo's Defensive Vulnerability: Remo concedes an average of 1.71 goals per game and only managed 1 clean sheet
风险因素
  • Squad Gaps for São Paulo: Only 68% of the usual goal threat is available, without Luciano (6G/1A), Wendell (0G/3A), Sabino (1G/1A), and Damián Bobadilla (0G/2A)
  • São Paulo's Away Weakness: The team concedes an average of 1.86 goals per away game
概述

Remo (19th place, 15 points) host São Paulo (8th place, 25 points) at Estádio Estadual Jornalista Edgar Augusto Proença

Serie A match on May 31, 2026, 8:30 PM

Remo is fighting for crucial points in the relegation battle

São Paulo aims for a better mid-table position

近期状态

Home side Remo has a form of LWDWL in their last five matches across all competitions

This translates to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

São Paulo shows a form of WDLLD in their last five matches

This means 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Remo averages 1.18 goals scored per game and concedes 1.71 goals per game

At home, they average 1.25 goals scored and 1.38 goals conceded

São Paulo scores an average of 1.35 goals and concedes 1.12 goals per match

Away from home, São Paulo scores 1.29 goals and concedes 1.86 goals on average

At Estádio Estadual Jornalista Edgar Augusto Proença, an average of 2.6 goals are scored per game

Both teams scored in 80% of matches at this arena

Over 2.5 goals occurred in 40% of matches at this stadium

历史交锋

No head-to-head matches between these teams were found in the provided dataset

关键球员

For Remo, Alef Manga stands out with 4 goals and 3 assists this season

Vitor Bueno has contributed 2 goals and 2 assists

Yago Pikachu scored 2 goals and 1 assist in the current season

For São Paulo, Jonathan Calleri is a key attacker with 6 goals and 1 assist in 15 season appearances

Ferreirinha has also been a goal threat with 4 season goals

Artur has 1 goal and 1 assist this season

门将

Ivan is the starting goalkeeper for Remo

Rafael is in goal for São Paulo

Remo has recorded 1 clean sheet this season

São Paulo has registered 4 clean sheets

影响因素

Home team Remo scores an average of 1.25 goals at home and concedes 1.38 goals

São Paulo scores 1.29 goals away and concedes 1.86 goals per game

The grass pitch at Estádio Estadual Jornalista Edgar Augusto Proença is the playing surface for this match

Historically, this stadium averages 2.6 goals per game

Both teams scored in 80% of matches, and over 2.5 goals occurred in 40%

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