Serie A
Mirassol - Grêmio
07/17/2026, 11:00 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.0
0.8
0:0
15%1:0
15%1:1
14%2:0
10%0:1
9%xG 分解
Mirassol
Grêmio
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
46%
平局
33%
客胜
21%
进球数
Over 1.5
61%
Under 1.5
39%
Over 2.5
32%
Under 2.5
68%
Over 3.5
14%
Under 3.5
86%
双重机会
主胜或平局
79%
客胜或平局
54%
非平局
67%
双方进球
是
39%
否
61%
关键因素
- Tactical advantage for Mirassol: The hosts recently averaged 4.4 shots on target per match, whereas Grêmio averaged only 2.4
- Head-to-head dominance: Mirassol has won both of the historic meetings between these teams with a total goal difference of 5:1
- Away weakness: Grêmio concedes an average of 3.0 goals per away match this season
风险因素
- Key players missing for Mirassol: Willian Machado (1 goal, 1 assist), Shaylon (1 goal, 1 assist), and Carlos Eduardo (1 goal, 1 assist) are not nominated
- Squad depth of the visitors: Grêmio travels with 100% of their usual starting lineup strength available
- Personnel crisis: Both teams have to cope with a high number of injured and suspended players
概述
Mirassol (19th place, 16 points) host Grêmio (15th place, 21 points)
Serie A match on July 17, 2026, 11:00 PM
Both teams are in the lower third of the standings fighting relegation
Match to be played at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
近期状态
Mirassol form: WDLWL
Grêmio form: DLDWL
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Mirassol achieved 2 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 games
Grêmio registered 1 win and 2 draws in the same period
统计数据
Mirassol scores an average of 1.06 goals and concedes 1.41 per match
Grêmio averages 1.11 goals scored and 1.28 conceded
Grêmio is vulnerable on the road conceding an average of 3 goals per away game
Both teams scored in 10 of Mirassol's 17 league games
历史交锋
There have been 2 head-to-head matches so far
Mirassol won both of these encounters
Overall goal ratio stands at 5:1 in favor of Mirassol
The last match on September 13, 2025 ended 1-0 for Mirassol
关键球员
Reinaldo (Defender, 1 assist, rising form trend)
Carlos Vinícius (Forward, 9 goals this season, 2 goals in last 5 matches)
Gabriel Mec (Midfielder, 2 goals in last 5 games, rising form trend)
门将
Walter plays for Mirassol with 1 clean sheet in 17 appearances
Weverton is in goal for Grêmio with 5 clean sheets in 17 appearances
Weverton boasts a higher season rating of 7.02
影响因素
The game takes place on natural grass at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
The venue history shows an average of 2.0 total goals per match
Both teams scored in 60% of home games played at this venue