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Serie A

Coritiba - Palmeiras

07/22/2026, 10:30 PM

1 : 3
预期进球
Coritiba
0.9
Total xG
2.2
Palmeiras
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:1

12%

0:0

12%

0:2

9%

1:2

9%
xG 分解
CORPAL

Coritiba

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.62倍)
-1.02
小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.43
防守不足 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.6球)
-0.22
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.14
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
+0.14
排名劣势 (第7位 vs 第1位, 相差6位)
-0.06
Pedro Rocha未进大名单 (4球, 1助攻)

Palmeiras

防守实力 (场均失0.8球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
-0.33
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
-0.16
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.11
状态下滑 (1.4 vs 1.8 赛季平均)
-0.11
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第7位, 相差6位)
+0.04
José Manuel López未进大名单 (6球, 3助攻)
Allan未进大名单 (4球, 2助攻)
24%进球产出缺失 (仅86%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.8球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

24%

平局

31%

客胜

45%

进球数

Over 1.5

67%

Under 1.5

33%

Over 2.5

39%

Under 2.5

61%

Over 3.5

19%

Under 3.5

81%

双重机会

主胜或平局

55%

客胜或平局

76%

非平局

69%

双方进球

是

46%

否

54%

关键因素
  • Coritiba's attack has been strong recently, averaging 1.8 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.3
  • Palmeiras' goal production is stagnant, averaging 1.4 goals recently compared to their season average of 1.8
  • Palmeiras boasts the league's best defense, conceding an average of just 0.72 goals per game
风险因素
  • Limited data availability for historical head-to-head matches
  • Palmeiras travels without non-nominated key players José Manuel López and Allan
概述

Coritiba hosts league leaders Palmeiras

Serie A match on July 22, 2026, 11:30 PM

The venue is Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira

Palmeiras leads the standings with 41 points

Coritiba sits in 7th place with 26 points

近期状态

Coritiba's recent form is inconsistent with LDWWL

Their last match ended in a loss to Flamengo

Palmeiras is undefeated in five games with the form DDDWW

The visitors won their last match against Chapecoense

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Palmeiras has a strong defense conceding only 0.72 goals per game

On the road the league leaders concede just 0.88 goals on average

Coritiba scores an average of 1.25 goals at home

Coritiba concedes 1.0 goals per game in home fixtures

Palmeiras scores an average of 1.75 goals away from home

关键球员

Breno Lopes has scored 8 goals this season

Josué has provided 7 assists in midfield

Joaquín Lavega has scored 5 goals this season

Andreas Pereira impressed with 10 assists this season

Gustavo Gómez scored 3 goals this season

Jhon Arias has 3 league goals

门将

Carlos Miguel played 17 matches for Palmeiras

Pedro Rangel has 15 appearances for Coritiba

Palmeiras has kept 7 clean sheets

Coritiba recorded 5 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The match is played on grass turf

Coritiba's home record stands at 1.25 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game

The venue stats show an average of 3.0 goals per game in recent matches

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