🇧🇷

Serie A

Botafogo - Santos

07/16/2026, 10:30 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Botafogo
1.3
Total xG
2.4
Santos
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

11%

1:0

10%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%
xG 分解
BOTSAN

Botafogo

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.13
状态下滑 (1.4 vs 1.8 赛季平均)
-0.13
小样本 (7场) - 均值回归
+0.08
Arthur Cabral未进大名单 (7球, 1助攻)
Álvaro Montoro未进大名单 (0球, 3助攻)
41%进球产出缺失 (仅56%可用)

Santos

小样本 (8场) - 均值回归
+0.04
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.02
Gabriel Barbosa未进大名单 (7球, 2助攻)
Christian Oliva替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
Gabriel Bontempo替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
16%进球产出缺失 (仅69%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.5球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

41%

平局

31%

客胜

28%

进球数

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

29%

Over 2.5

43%

Under 2.5

57%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

78%

双重机会

主胜或平局

72%

客胜或平局

59%

非平局

69%

双方进球

50%

50%

关键因素
  • Home attack vs away defensive struggles: Botafogo scores an average of 1.88 goals at home, while Santos concedes 2.12 goals per away game on average
  • Tactical edge: Botafogo averaged 5.4 shots on target per match in recent games
  • Statistical edge: The mathematical analysis estimates a 41% probability for a home win
风险因素
  • Arthur Cabral, Álvaro Montoro missing, only 57% of goal threat available for Botafogo
  • Gabriel Barbosa, Christian Oliva, Gabriel Bontempo missing, only 69% of goal threat available for Santos
  • Weak away defense: Santos concedes an average of 2.12 goals per away game
概述

Botafogo hosts Santos

Match on July 16, 2026, 10:30 PM

Serie A clash at the Estádio Nilton Santos

Botafogo sits in 12th place with 22 points

Santos occupies 15th position with 21 points

近期状态

Botafogo enters with the form LDWDL

They recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses recently

Santos arrives with the form DWLLW

The visitors achieved 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

Botafogo's goal production is stalling compared to their season average

统计数据

Botafogo scores an average of 1.82 goals and concedes 1.82

Santos averages 1.44 goals scored and 1.61 conceded

Botafogo's home record stands at 1.88 goals scored on average

Santos concedes an average of 2.12 goals away from home

Both teams scored in 14 out of 17 matches for Botafogo

历史交锋

2 head-to-head matches in history

1 win for Botafogo and 1 draw

Santos is yet to win a match

The last direct encounter ended in a 2:2 draw

关键球员

Matheus Martins has recorded 4 goals in 15 appearances

Cristian Medina contributed 1 goal with an average rating of 6.82

Alex Telles has 2 goals and 2 assists from 15 matches

Benjamín Rollheiser has scored 3 goals in 14 matches, including 3 in his last 5 games

Álvaro Barreal stands at 3 goals from 15 matches

Miguelito has registered 1 goal and 2 assists in 8 appearances

门将

Léo Linck starts in goal for Botafogo, having played 0 matches this season

Gabriel Brazão guards the net for Santos with 16 appearances

Botafogo has kept only 1 clean sheet this season

Santos recorded 4 clean sheets so far

影响因素

The match takes place on natural grass at the Estádio Nilton Santos

Historically, an average of 3.8 goals are scored per match at this stadium

Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 games at this venue

Santos concedes an average of 2.12 goals in away games

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。