Serie A
Internacional - Cruzeiro
07/23/2026, 12:30 AM
预期进球
1.4
2.3
0.9
1:1
14%1:0
12%0:0
12%2:0
9%2:1
9%xG 分解
Internacional
Cruzeiro
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
45%
平局
31%
客胜
24%
进球数
Over 1.5
68%
Under 1.5
32%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
20%
Under 3.5
80%
双重机会
主胜或平局
76%
客胜或平局
55%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
47%
否
53%
关键因素
- Only 47% of goal threat available, without Christian, Lucas Romero, Keny Arroyo, Kauã Moraes, Kaiki
- Internacional averaged 4.8 shots on target in recent matches
- Away defense weakness: Cruzeiro concedes an average of 2.67 goals per away game
风险因素
- Cruzeiro dominated possession recently with an average of 60.6%
- Long break: Both teams have not played a competitive match in 53 days
- Absence of Inter's starting goalkeeper Rochet weakens the defensive backup
概述
Internacional (14th place, 21 points) host Cruzeiro (13th place, 24 points) at the Estadio Beira-Rio
Serie A fixture on July 23, 2026, 12:30 AM
Both teams are close to each other in the mid-table
The hosts aim to overtake Cruzeiro with a home win
近期状态
Internacional shows a mixed form with the sequence WDWLL
They recently suffered two consecutive losses against Bragantino and Vitória
Cruzeiro is more stable with the form LWDWD
Their last match ended in a 1-1 draw against Fluminense
统计数据
Internacional scores 1.17 goals and concedes 1.22 goals per game on average
Cruzeiro is stronger offensively with 1.33 goals but concedes 1.56 goals
Away from home Cruzeiro concedes an average of 2.67 goals per match
The BTTS rate for Internacional is 10 out of 18 matches
历史交锋
In 4 direct matches Internacional has 2 home wins while Cruzeiro has 1 win
The last meeting was won by Cruzeiro 2-1 at home on August 23, 2025
Internacional historically dominated home matches against Cruzeiro
The total goal difference is 5-2 in favor of Internacional
关键球员
Johan Carbonero has scored 3 goals and provided 2 assists in his last 5 matches
Alexandro Bernabei shines in defense with 4 goals this season and a 7.22 rating
For Cruzeiro Matheus Pereira leads the midfield with a 7.4 rating
门将
Anthoni plays in goal for the injured Rochet and has made 7 appearances so far
Otávio Costa guards the goal for Cruzeiro with 5 season appearances and a 6.5 rating
Both teams have kept 4 clean sheets each this season
影响因素
Internacional holds home advantage at Estadio Beira-Rio conceding only 1.0 goals on average
The venue statistics show an average of 2.4 goals per match in this stadium
The mathematical model calculates a home win probability of 45%
A draw is predicted at 31%