Serie A
Vitória - Vasco da Gama
07/16/2026, 10:30 PM
预期进球
1.1
2.2
1.1
1:1
15%0:0
13%0:1
11%1:0
10%1:2
7%xG 分解
Vitória
Vasco da Gama
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
32%
平局
33%
客胜
35%
进球数
Over 1.5
66%
Under 1.5
34%
Over 2.5
37%
Under 2.5
63%
Over 3.5
18%
Under 3.5
82%
双重机会
主胜或平局
65%
客胜或平局
68%
非平局
67%
双方进球
是
46%
否
54%
关键因素
- Vitória's home defensive wall: Vitória conceded only 0.27 goals per home match, showing exceptional stability
- Contrasting form trends: Vitória's attack is scoring more recently at 1.8 goals per match than their season average, while Vasco's production dropped to 0.8
- Home strength vs away weakness: Vitória secured 6 clean sheets at home, while Vasco concede an average of 2.00 goals on the road
风险因素
- Extremely long injury list for Vitória with 13 players missing, including the suspended C. de Jesus Gonçalves
- Historical matchup favors the visitors, as Vasco da Gama won 3 of the last 4 direct encounters
概述
Vitória host Vasco da Gama at the Estádio Manoel Barradas
Serie A match on July 16, 2026, 11:30 PM
Vitória currently sit in 13th place with 22 points, while Vasco da Gama occupy 17th place with 20 points
A crucial clash in the bottom half of the standings
近期状态
Vitória show a form of WDLWL with two wins and two losses recently
Vasco da Gama hold a form of DWLLL and lost their last three matches
The visitors travel with a negative run of three consecutive defeats
Vitória recorded two wins and one draw in their last five matches
统计数据
Vitória average 1.24 goals scored and 1.47 goals conceded this season
Vasco da Gama average 1.22 goals scored and 1.61 goals conceded per match
Vitória's defense is particularly strong at home, conceding just 0.27 goals per game
In 11 home matches, Vitória kept 6 clean sheets
历史交锋
In 4 direct head-to-head matches, Vitória won once and Vasco da Gama claimed 3 victories
The historical goal record stands at 6:9 in favor of Vasco da Gama
The last encounter ended on October 5, 2025, with a 4-3 victory for Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama has been the dominant team in past encounters
关键球员
Renê shines in attack with 5 season goals, including 4 goals in the last five games
Erick contributed 2 goals and 4 assists in 16 appearances
Diego Tarzia scored 2 goals and provided 1 assist in 12 matches
Thiago Mendes excels in midfield with 3 season goals in 16 appearances
Cuiabano contributed 2 goals and 3 assists as a defender
José Luis Rodríguez recorded 2 goals and 4 assists this season
门将
Lucas Arcanjo made 13 appearances this season with an average rating of 6.99
Léo Jardim played 18 matches and kept 1 clean sheet
Lucas Arcanjo recorded 6 clean sheets in home matches
影响因素
The match will be played on natural grass at the Estádio Manoel Barradas
Vitória's home advantage is highlighted by a solid defense with only 3 goals conceded in 11 home games
Vitória concede an average of only 0.27 goals at home, whereas Vasco da Gama concede an average of 2 goals away