Serie A
Fluminense - Bragantino
07/17/2026, 11:00 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.6
1.1
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
8%1:2
7%2:2
5%xG 分解
Fluminense
Bragantino
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
42%
平局
30%
客胜
29%
进球数
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
26%
Under 3.5
74%
双重机会
主胜或平局
71%
客胜或平局
58%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
53%
否
47%
关键因素
- Critical squad impact for Bragantino: Only 60% of usual goal threat is available, with key players like Isidro Pitta and Juninho Capixaba missing
- Bragantino scored more in recent matches (2.0) than their season average (1.4), averaging 5.2 shots on target in past games
- Home strength vs away weakness: Fluminense concede only 0.91 goals at home, while Bragantino concede an average of 1.67 away
风险因素
- Fluminense's goal production is stalling, with only 1.0 goals per game recently compared to their season average of 1.56
- Form discrepancy: Fluminense have won only one of their last five matches, while Bragantino won four of those games
概述
Fluminense host Bragantino at the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Serie A clash on July 17, 2026, 11:00 PM
Fluminense sit 3rd with 31 points, just ahead of 5th-placed Bragantino with 29 points
Both teams are fighting to stay close to the top of the table
近期状态
Fluminense show inconsistent form with form string: LDWLD
Their last match ended in a 1-1 draw against Cruzeiro
Bragantino travel with a strong form of WLWWW
The visitors have won three games in a row, most recently 3-1 against Internacional
Form key: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Fluminense score an average of 1.56 goals per game this season
The hosts' defense concedes an average of 1.28 goals per match
Bragantino score an average of 1.39 goals and concede 1.06 goals per game
The visitors concede an average of 1.67 goals away, while Fluminense concede only 0.91 at home
历史交锋
In 4 head-to-head matches, there have been 2 home wins, 1 away win, and 1 draw
The goal difference in these matches is balanced at 7-7
In the last encounter on August 23, 2025, Bragantino won 4-2 at home
Fluminense won the last home meeting 2-1
关键球员
Luciano Acosta in midfield has recorded 3 goals and 4 assists in 14 matches
Jefferson Savarino contributes 3 goals and 2 assists
Kevin Serna has registered 1 goal and 1 assist in 18 games
For Bragantino, Lucas Barbosa stands out with 4 goals and 2 assists
Fernando has already scored 2 goals and provided 1 assist
Rodriguinho has scored 2 goals in 9 appearances
门将
Fábio is in goal for Fluminense and has kept 3 clean sheets this season
Tiago Volpi guards the net for Bragantino
Bragantino have recorded 6 clean sheets this season
影响因素
The Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho sees an average of 4.0 goals per game
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 5 encounters at this venue
Fluminense benefit from a solid home record, conceding only 0.91 goals per game