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Serie A

Corinthians - Remo

07/23/2026, 10:30 PM

3 : 0
预期进球
Corinthians
1.0
Total xG
1.8
Remo
0.8
最可能的比分

0:0

18%

1:1

15%

1:0

14%

0:1

12%

2:0

8%
xG 分解
CORREM

Corinthians

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.47倍)
-0.95
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.35
防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.26
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.8球)
+0.18
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.18
排名优势 (第13位 vs 第19位, 相差6位)
+0.03
Rodrigo Garro未进大名单 (2球, 6助攻)

Remo

防守实力 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.58
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.20
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.11
状态上升 (1.6 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.11
排名劣势 (第19位 vs 第13位, 相差6位)
-0.05
全员可用
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

36%

平局

36%

客胜

28%

进球数

Over 1.5

55%

Under 1.5

45%

Over 2.5

27%

Under 2.5

73%

Over 3.5

11%

Under 3.5

89%

双重机会

主胜或平局

72%

客胜或平局

64%

非平局

64%

双方进球

37%

63%

关键因素
  • Midfield absence: Rodrigo Garro is suspended, leaving only 54% of usual assists and 81% of starting lineup strength available
  • Defensive gap: Corinthians concedes an average of only 0.89 goals at home, whereas Remo allows an average of 2.00 goals away
  • Tactical style: Corinthians recently played possession-dominant football with an average of 59% possession, while Remo on average relied on counter-attacks
风险因素
  • Lack of creativity: Due to the absence of Rodrigo Garro, Corinthians is missing 46% of their seasonal assists
  • Low goal expectation: The mathematical prediction sits at just 0.96 expected goals for Corinthians and 0.83 for Remo
  • Away defensive instability: Remo concedes a worrying average of 2.00 goals per away match
概述

Corinthians (13th place, 24 points) host Remo (19th place, 18 points) at the Arena Corinthians

Serie A match on July 23, 2026, 10:30 PM

An important clash in the lower half of the table

近期状态

Corinthians shows a positive trend with a form of LWLWW and 3 wins from the last 5 matches

The home team averaged 1.8 goals per match recently

Remo visits with a form of WDWLW and also 3 wins

The visitors currently score more frequently with 1.6 goals per match than their season average

统计数据

Corinthians has scored 18 goals and conceded 19 so far this season

At home, their defense is more stable, conceding only 0.89 goals per match

Remo struggles defensively away from home, conceding an average of 2.00 goals

In 9 away matches, the visitors have kept only one clean sheet

关键球员

Yuri Alberto leads the hosts' attack with an average rating of 6.89

In midfield, André Luiz Santos Dias contributes 3 season goals

Matheus Bidu stabilizes the defense with a season average of 6.95

For the visitors, Alef Manga impresses with 4 goals and 3 assists

Jajá is in good form with 3 goals in his last 5 matches

Goalkeeper Marcelo Rangel shines with an average rating of 7.07

门将

Hugo Souza plays in goal for Corinthians and has kept 7 clean sheets this season

Marcelo Rangel guards the goal for Remo and has kept 2 clean sheets so far

影响因素

Arena Corinthians features natural grass, providing familiar conditions for the home side

In the previous 5 home matches, an average of 2 goals per game were scored

Home advantage for Corinthians is reflected in conceding only 0.89 goals per home match

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