Serie A
Grêmio - Fluminense
07/26/2026, 09:30 PM
预期进球
1.0
2.2
1.2
1:1
15%0:0
13%0:1
12%1:0
9%0:2
8%xG 分解
Grêmio
Fluminense
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
28%
平局
33%
客胜
40%
进球数
Over 1.5
66%
Under 1.5
34%
Over 2.5
37%
Under 2.5
63%
Over 3.5
18%
Under 3.5
82%
双重机会
主胜或平局
60%
客胜或平局
72%
非平局
67%
双方进球
是
45%
否
55%
关键因素
- Table disparity: Fluminense visit as 4th in the league while Grêmio struggle in 16th place
- Tactical styles: Fluminense recently averaged 56.2% possession compared to Grêmio's 43.8%
- Key absences for the visitors: Fluminense travel without John Kennedy and Jefferson Savarino
风险因素
- Away vulnerability: Fluminense concede an average of 1.86 goals per away match
- Statistical model: The mathematical projection gives Grêmio only a 28% probability of winning
- Weakened visitor attack: Due to key absences Fluminense only have 83% of their usual goal threat available
概述
Grêmio host Fluminense at the Arena do Grêmio
Serie A match on July 26, 2026, 11:30 PM
The hosts are in 16th place with 21 points fighting relegation
Fluminense travel as 4th in the standings with 32 points chasing the top positions
近期状态
Grêmio show weak form with only one win in their last five matches
The hosts' recent form sequence is LDWLL
Fluminense are more stable on the road with the form sequence DWLDD
The visitors recently recorded two consecutive draws
统计数据
Grêmio average 1.11 goals scored and 1.32 goals conceded per match this season
Fluminense are more dangerous offensively with an average of 1.53 goals scored
However Fluminense concede an average of 1.86 goals on their travels
The hosts have been solid at home conceding just 0.79 goals per match
历史交锋
Fluminense dominate recent meetings with three wins out of the last five matches
The last direct encounter ended in a 2-1 victory for Fluminense
In total Fluminense scored seven goals while Grêmio found the net five times
关键球员
Grêmio rely on Carlos Vinícius who has already scored ten goals this season
Cristian Pavón impresses with three assists and a rating of 7.19
Marlon stabilizes the hosts' defense with a rating of 7.37
For Fluminense Luciano Acosta pulls the strings in midfield with three goals and four assists
Agustín Canobbio has contributed four goals and two assists
Kevin Serna brings threat on the wings with one goal and one assist
门将
Gabriel Grando is set for his first appearance of the season for Grêmio
Fábio has played 19 matches for Fluminense with a rating of 6.86
Grêmio have recorded five clean sheets while Fluminense have kept three so far
影响因素
The match will be played on natural grass at the Arena do Grêmio
The hosts boast a strong defense at home conceding only 0.79 goals per game
The venue has averaged 2.2 goals per match this season