🇧🇷

Serie A

Remo - Vitória

07/26/2026, 10:30 PM

2 : 0
预期进球
Remo
1.1
Total xG
1.9
Vitória
0.9
最可能的比分

0:0

16%

1:1

15%

1:0

13%

0:1

11%

2:0

8%
xG 分解
REMVIT

Remo

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.54倍)
-0.58
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.21
排名劣势 (第19位 vs 第11位, 相差8位)
-0.09
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.01
Vitor Bueno替补席 (2球, 2助攻)

Vitória

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.66倍)
-0.42
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.15
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.09
排名优势 (第11位 vs 第19位, 相差8位)
+0.03
Matheuzinho替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.7球 vs 总体1.3球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

37%

平局

35%

客胜

28%

进球数

Over 1.5

60%

Under 1.5

40%

Over 2.5

31%

Under 2.5

69%

Over 3.5

13%

Under 3.5

87%

双重机会

主胜或平局

72%

客胜或平局

63%

非平局

65%

双方进球

40%

60%

关键因素
  • Home advantage vs away weakness: Remo concede only 1.1 goals on average at home, whereas Vitória let in a disastrous 3.67 goals per away game
  • Tactical edge: Vitória averaged 4.4 shots on target in recent matches, compared to Remo's more defensive approach of only 2.0 shots on target
  • Mathematical prediction: The model favors Remo with a 72% probability for a home win or draw
风险因素
  • Fatigue factor: Both teams face a tight schedule with only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Limited offense for Remo: The hosts are highly counter-oriented, averaging just 42% possession in past matches
  • Missing squad depth: Vitor Bueno is sidelined for Remo, while Vitória must play without Matheuzinho
概述

Remo host Vitória at the Estádio Estadual Jornalista Edgar Augusto Proença

Serie A match on July 26, 2026, 10:30 PM

Remo fight against relegation in 19th place, while Vitória sit in mid-table in 11th place

近期状态

Remo show unstable form with two wins, one draw, and two losses lately

Their last game ended in a 0-3 defeat against Corinthians

Vitória has the identical record and recently played out a 0-0 draw against Botafogo

Form-string Remo: DWLWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Form-string Vitória: LWLWD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Remo score 1.11 goals and concede 1.68 goals per game on average

At home, they perform better defensively, conceding only 1.1 goals on average

Vitória score 1.16 goals and concede 1.32 goals per match

Vitória has been extremely vulnerable away from home, conceding 3.67 goals per game

历史交锋

There has been one head-to-head match between the teams so far

Vitória won that game 2-0 at home in January 2026

Remo are still waiting for their first goal against this opponent

关键球员

Jajá is a key attacker for Remo with 4 goals this season

Alef Manga also contributed 4 goals and 3 assists

Yago Pikachu completes the offense with 2 goals and one assist

For Vitória, René is the biggest threat with 5 goals scored

Erick stands out with 2 goals and 4 assists

Diego Tarzia brings goal danger from midfield with 2 goals and 2 assists

门将

Remo rely on Marcelo Rangel with a strong season rating of 7.07

Vitória trust Lucas Arcanjo, who played 14 games with a 6.98 rating

Vitória have kept 8 clean sheets, whereas Remo have managed 2 so far

影响因素

At the Edgar Augusto Proença, matches average only 1.8 goals per game

Both teams scored in 60% of Remo's home games so far

Remo's home advantage could be boosted by Vitória's terrible away record of 3.67 goals conceded per game

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。