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Serie A

Athletico PR - Internacional

07/25/2026, 09:30 PM

2 : 0
预期进球
Athletico PR
1.3
Total xG
2.1
Internacional
0.8
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

14%

0:0

14%

2:0

10%

0:1

8%
xG 分解
APINT

Athletico PR

防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.47
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.07
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第14位, 相差11位)
+0.07
Gastón Benavídez替补席 (0球, 5助攻)

Internacional

小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
+0.25
防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.21
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.11
状态上升 (1.6 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.11
排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第3位, 相差11位)
-0.10
全员可用
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

46%

平局

32%

客胜

22%

进球数

Over 1.5

64%

Under 1.5

36%

Over 2.5

35%

Under 2.5

65%

Over 3.5

16%

Under 3.5

84%

双重机会

主胜或平局

78%

客胜或平局

54%

非平局

68%

双方进球

42%

58%

关键因素
  • Home strength vs away weakness: Athletico PR concede only 0.50 goals on average at home, while Internacional concede 1.44 goals away
  • Form gap: Athletico PR won their last three matches, while Internacional suffered three consecutive defeats
  • Tactical edge: Athletico PR averaged 4.4 shots on target in recent matches
风险因素
  • High workload: Both teams enter this match with only two days of rest
  • Improved away attack: Internacional currently average more goals (1.6) than their season average (1.22)
  • Missing playmaker: Gastón Benavídez is absent from the home squad, leaving behind his 5 assists
概述

Athletico PR host Internacional at the Arena de Baixada

Serie A match on July 25, 2026, 11:30 PM

Third-placed Athletico PR (33 points) face 14th-placed Internacional (21 points)

Athletico PR aim to keep pace with the top, while Internacional seek crucial points

近期状态

Athletico PR are in strong form with three consecutive wins and a form of LDWWW

Internacional are struggling with three consecutive losses and a form of DWLLL

The hosts recently won 2-1 against São Paulo, while the visitors lost 1-2 to Cruzeiro

统计数据

Athletico PR score an average of 1.42 goals at home and concede only 0.50 goals

Internacional concede an average of 1.44 goals per away game

The home team has kept five clean sheets this season, including four at home

历史交锋

There are three head-to-head matches in the database

Athletico PR won two matches, and one ended in a draw

The last encounter on January 28, 2026, ended in a 1-0 victory for Athletico PR

关键球员

Kevin Viveros leads the home attack with 11 goals this season

Lucas Esquivel has contributed one goal and four assists from defense

Johan Carbonero remains a key threat for Internacional with 5 goals and 3 assists

门将

Santos guards the goal for the home side with an average rating of 6.8

Anthoni represents the visitors in goal and has made eight appearances this season

影响因素

Home advantage is a major factor given Athletico PR's strong home defense

Arena de Baixada features an average of 1.8 goals per match

Both teams must cope with a very short recovery period

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