Serie A
Cruzeiro - Botafogo
07/26/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.3
0.9
1:1
14%1:0
12%0:0
12%2:0
10%2:1
9%xG 分解
Cruzeiro
Botafogo
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
47%
平局
30%
客胜
22%
进球数
Over 1.5
69%
Under 1.5
31%
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
20%
Under 3.5
80%
双重机会
主胜或平局
78%
客胜或平局
53%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
46%
否
54%
关键因素
- Heavily weakened lineup: Cruzeiro is missing major impact with only 56% of their regular starting quality as key player Matheus Pereira is out with 4 goals and 2 assists
- Tactical dominance: Cruzeiro recently controlled matches with an average of 57% possession and 5.0 shots on target
- Botafogo's away attacking threat: The visitors have been highly effective away from home averaging 1.78 goals per game
风险因素
- Tight recovery window: Both teams have had only 3 days of rest since their last competitive match
- Defensive vulnerability away: Botafogo struggles defensively on the road conceding an average of 2.11 goals per away match
- Missing playmaker: Cruzeiro's creativity is severely limited without key midfielder Matheus Pereira
概述
Cruzeiro (8th place, 27 points) host Botafogo (9th place, 26 points)
Serie A clash at the Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto on July 26, 2026, 8:00 PM
A tight mid-table battle with both teams aiming to close the gap to the top
近期状态
Cruzeiro is unbeaten in 5 matches with a form of WDWDW
Their last match was a 2-1 away victory against Internacional
Botafogo shows a solid run of form with WDLWD
They recently secured a 0-0 home draw against Vitória
统计数据
Cruzeiro averages 1.37 goals scored and 1.53 goals conceded per game
Their defense is more stable at home conceding only 1.0 goals per match
Botafogo scores an average of 1.78 goals away but concedes 2.11 goals
Over 2.5 goals occurred in 15 out of 19 matches for Botafogo this season
历史交锋
In the last 5 direct meetings Cruzeiro won 3 matches while Botafogo won 1 with 1 draw
The last encounter ended in a clear 4-0 home victory for Botafogo on January 30, 2026
关键球员
Kaio Jorge shines for Cruzeiro with 5 goals and a rising form trend
Defender Fagner has already contributed 3 assists this season
Botafogo relies on Arthur Cabral who scored 7 goals this season including 4 in his last 5 games
门将
Otávio Costa played in goal for Cruzeiro keeping 4 clean sheets this season
Botafogo kept 2 clean sheets this season with Warleson featured in goal
影响因素
The match will be played on the natural grass surface of the Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
Cruzeiro is strong at home with a 16:12 goal difference and 3 clean sheets
Historical matches at this venue average 2.8 total goals per game