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Serie A

Bragantino - Coritiba

07/26/2026, 09:30 PM

0 : 0
预期进球
Bragantino
1.7
Total xG
2.4
Coritiba
0.8
最可能的比分

1:0

13%

1:1

13%

2:0

12%

0:0

10%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
BRACOR

Bragantino

防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.49
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.13
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.13
小样本 (9场) - 均值回归
-0.13
Isidro Pitta替补席 (5球, 2助攻)
Henry Mosquera替补席 (0球, 3助攻)
Gabriel替补席 (2球, 0助攻)

Coritiba

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.14
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
+0.14
Joaquín Lavega替补席 (5球, 1助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.3球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

57%

平局

27%

客胜

16%

进球数

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

29%

Over 2.5

43%

Under 2.5

57%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

78%

双重机会

主胜或平局

84%

客胜或平局

43%

非平局

73%

双方进球

45%

55%

关键因素
  • Offensive strength: Bragantino averaged 5.2 shots on target in recent matches
  • Home form: Bragantino is strong at home with three consecutive wins recently
  • Model prediction: Mathematical analysis shows a solid 57% probability of a home win
风险因素
  • Squad depth: Bragantino has to cope with six injured or suspended players
  • Key absences: Bragantino are missing important offensive options like Isidro Pitta and Henry Mosquera
概述

Bragantino host Coritiba at the Estádio Cicero de Souza Marques

Serie A match on July 26, 2026, 10:30 PM

Bragantino are in 5th place with 30 points

Coritiba occupy 10th place with 26 points

近期状态

Bragantino form: LWWWD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss recently

Coritiba form: DWWLL

2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses recently

统计数据

Bragantino score an average of 1.33 goals at home and concede 0.75 goals

Coritiba score an average of 1.27 goals away and concede 1.45 goals

Bragantino kept 6 clean sheets this season

Coritiba recorded 5 clean sheets

历史交锋

Only 1 head-to-head match recorded

Coritiba won the last match 1-0 on January 28, 2026

No draws in the head-to-head history

关键球员

Lucas Barbosa scored 4 goals and provided 2 assists for Bragantino

Juninho Capixaba holds an average rating of 7.20 in defense

Breno Lopes is Coritiba's top scorer with 8 goals

Josué contributes with 8 assists in midfield

门将

Tiago Volpi is in goal for Bragantino with a rating of 7.15

Pedro Rangel plays for Coritiba with an average rating of 6.88

Bragantino kept 6 clean sheets compared to Coritiba's 5

影响因素

Played on grass at Estádio Cicero de Souza Marques

Venue average is 3.2 goals per match

Bragantino show home strength conceding only 0.75 goals per game

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