Serie A
Flamengo - São Paulo
07/26/2026, 09:30 PM
预期进球
1.5
2.5
0.9
1:1
14%1:0
11%0:0
10%2:0
10%2:1
9%xG 分解
Flamengo
São Paulo
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
49%
平局
29%
客胜
22%
进球数
Over 1.5
72%
Under 1.5
28%
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
23%
Under 3.5
77%
双重机会
主胜或平局
78%
客胜或平局
51%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
49%
否
51%
关键因素
- 1. Home strength vs away weakness: Flamengo averages 2.0 goals scored at home, while São Paulo concedes 2.0 goals on average away
- 2. Form discrepancy: Flamengo is stable (WDLWW, 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss) whereas São Paulo is winless in their last five matches (LLDLL)
- 3. Tactical dominance: Flamengo controls matches with an average of 61% possession and generates 5.2 shots on target per game
风险因素
- 1. Personnel absences: São Paulo must play without the offensive threat of Ferreirinha (4 goals) as well as Damián Bobadilla and Sabino
- 2. Fatigue factor: Both teams enter this matchup with only 3 days of rest since their last competitive game
- 3. Head-to-head history: The most recent direct encounter ended in a 2-1 victory for São Paulo
概述
Flamengo (2nd place, 37 points) host São Paulo (12th place, 25 points) at the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Serie A match on July 26, 2026, 9:30 PM
The hosts aim to close the gap on league leaders Palmeiras
近期状态
Flamengo shows stable form with a WDLWW record
Most recently they secured a dominant 4-0 away victory against Chapecoense
São Paulo is in a downward trend with a LLDLL record
The visitors recently suffered a 1-2 home defeat against Athletico PR
Form code: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Flamengo averages 2.0 goals scored and 0.88 goals conceded in home matches
São Paulo struggles on the road conceding an average of 2.0 goals while scoring 1.29
Flamengo has kept 8 clean sheets this season compared to São Paulo's 4
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches both teams have recorded 2 wins each alongside 1 draw
The goal difference stands at 7:6 in favor of Flamengo
The last encounter on January 29, 2026 ended in a 2-1 victory for São Paulo
关键球员
Pedro leads the attack with 12 goals and 4 assists
Samuel Lino impresses with 4 goals and 7 assists this season
Jorginho solidifies the midfield and has contributed 2 goals
门将
Agustín Rossi guards the net for Flamengo with 8 clean sheets this season
Rafael starts for São Paulo and has recorded 4 clean sheets so far
影响因素
The match will be played on natural grass at the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
This venue historically averages 3.8 goals per match
Flamengo benefits from a strong home advantage averaging 2 goals per home game