Serie A
Coritiba - Cruzeiro
07/31/2026, 12:30 AM
预期进球
1.2
2.5
1.3
1:1
14%1:2
9%2:1
7%0:2
7%2:0
6%xG 分解
Coritiba
Cruzeiro
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
31%
平局
30%
客胜
39%
进球数
Over 1.5
73%
Under 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
25%
Under 3.5
75%
双重机会
主胜或平局
61%
客胜或平局
69%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
53%
否
47%
关键因素
- Attacking trend: Coritiba currently scores more frequently (1.8) than their season average (1.3), while Cruzeiro's scoring has slowed down to 1.2 goals compared to their season average (1.4)
- Away defensive struggles: Cruzeiro concedes a high average of 2.12 goals per away game this season
- Tactical contrast: Cruzeiro averaged 59% possession in recent matches, meeting a counter-oriented Coritiba side that averaged 4.6 shots on target
风险因素
- Tight mathematical prediction: The model calculates a very close distribution of 31% home win, 30% draw, and 39% away win
- Massive squad absences for visitors: Cruzeiro travels with a list of 8 injured or suspended players
- Away defensive risk: Cruzeiro kept only 1 clean sheet in 8 away games, indicating significant instability
概述
Coritiba hosts Cruzeiro at the Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira
Serie A match on July 31, 2026, 2:30 AM
Both teams are tied with 27 points in 10th and 11th place
A direct battle in the mid-table
近期状态
Coritiba has a form of WWLLD
Their last match ended in a 0-0 away draw against Bragantino
Cruzeiro travels with a form of DWDWL
Their last match ended in a 0-1 home loss against Botafogo
Form-Strings code: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Coritiba scores an average of 1.25 goals per game and concedes 1.35
Cruzeiro averages 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match
Cruzeiro's defense is particularly vulnerable away, conceding an average of 2.12 goals
Coritiba has a balanced home record of 1.22 goals scored and conceded per game
历史交锋
There has been 1 head-to-head match recorded
Coritiba won that match 2-1 away on February 6, 2026
关键球员
Breno Lopes has already scored 8 goals and provided 1 assist this season
Josué shines in midfield with 1 goal and 8 assists this season
Pedro Rocha has contributed 4 goals and 1 assist so far
Matheus Pereira stands out with 4 goals and 2 assists
Kaio Jorge scored 5 goals in 14 appearances
Keny Arroyo recorded 2 goals and 2 assists
门将
Pedro Morisco is in goal for Coritiba with a season average rating of 7.32
Otávio Costa guards Cruzeiro's goal with a rating of 6.6
Coritiba kept 6 clean sheets this season, while Cruzeiro kept 4
影响因素
The match will be played on grass at the Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira
Coritiba benefits from home support, whereas Cruzeiro struggles on the road
The venue history shows an average of 3.4 goals per match with an 80% BTTS rate