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Serie A

Atlético Mineiro - Bragantino

10/03/2026, 09:30 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
Atlético Mineiro
1.6
Total xG
2.7
Bragantino
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

10%

2:0

9%

1:2

6%

3:1

5%
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

49%

平局

28%

客胜

23%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

双重机会

主胜或平局

77%

客胜或平局

51%

非平局

72%

双方进球

是

54%

否

46%

关键因素
  • Favorites role for the home team with a calculated win probability of 49%
  • Atlético Mineiro averaged a strong 6.2 shots on target per match recently
  • Bragantino conceded an average of 1.55 goals per game in recent away matches
风险因素
  • Isidro Pitta, Lucas Barbosa, Rodriguinho, José Herrera are missing, only 58% of goal threat available
  • Bragantino recently conceded more goals on average (1.6) than their season average (1.15)
概述

Atlético Mineiro (8th place, 40 points) host Bragantino (10th place, 36 points) at the Arena MRV

Serie A match on October 3, 2026, 9:30 PM

A mid-table clash with both teams fighting for international spots

近期状态

Atlético Mineiro shows stable form with a DWLWD record

Their last match ended in a 1-1 draw against Chapecoense

Bragantino won only once in their last five matches with a WLLDL form

The visitors travel after a 1-2 defeat against Flamengo

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Atlético Mineiro scores an average of 1.33 goals and concedes 1.19 goals per match

Their home record stands at 1.35 goals scored and 0.94 conceded per game

Bragantino averages 1.22 goals scored and 1.15 goals conceded

In away matches, Bragantino concedes an average of 1.55 goals

The home team has kept six clean sheets this season, while Bragantino has kept eight

历史交锋

Five head-to-head matches in recent years

Atlético Mineiro leads with three wins to two losses

The last encounter ended with a 1-0 win for Bragantino on February 4, 2026

A total of 12 goals were scored in these five matches

关键球员

Tomás Cuello has recorded 5 goals, 2 assists, and a 7.12 rating this season

Reinier contributes 4 goals, 2 assists, and shows a rising trend with a 7.54 rating recently

Bernard has registered 2 goals and 4 assists during this campaign

Juninho Capixaba stands at 3 goals, 2 assists, and a season rating of 7.10

Fernando has scored 3 goals and provided 1 assist with a rating of 6.96

Goalkeeper Tiago Volpi has also contributed 2 goals this season alongside his defensive duties

门将

Gabriel Delfim played 4 matches this season with an average rating of 6.51

Tiago Volpi appeared in 20 games, reached a 7.08 rating, and has already scored 2 goals

Atlético Mineiro has kept 6 clean sheets, while Bragantino recorded 8 clean sheets so far

影响因素

The Arena MRV averages 2.8 total goals per match in recent games

Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 home matches

Atlético Mineiro scores 1.35 goals and concedes 0.94 goals on average at home

Bragantino averages 1.27 goals scored and 1.55 goals conceded when playing away

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