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Serie A

Internacional - Flamengo

07/29/2026, 10:30 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Internacional
1.0
Total xG
2.4
Flamengo
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

0:1

11%

0:0

11%

1:2

9%

0:2

9%
xG 分解
INTFLA

Internacional

排名劣势 (第16位 vs 第2位, 相差14位)
-0.16
防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.14
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.01
Alerrandro替补席 (3球, 3助攻)
主场表现强势 (场均1.7球 vs 总体1.2球)

Flamengo

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.57倍)
+0.24
防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
-0.22
排名优势 (第2位 vs 第16位, 相差14位)
+0.09
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.8球)
-0.03
Bruno Henrique 替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
Léo Ortiz替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.4球 vs 总体1.9球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

26%

平局

30%

客胜

44%

进球数

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

29%

Over 2.5

43%

Under 2.5

57%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

78%

双重机会

主胜或平局

56%

客胜或平局

74%

非平局

70%

双方进球

49%

51%

关键因素
  • Flamengo's offensive strength averaging 1.89 goals per game faces a vulnerable host defense
  • The form trend is highly critical for Internacional with four consecutive losses and a WLLLL record
  • Tactical dominance by Flamengo who averaged 5.4 shots on target and 58.2% possession recently
风险因素
  • Flamengo face a tight schedule with only 3 days since their last match
  • Internacional starting goalkeeper Matheus Cunha lacks match practice this season
  • Missing attacking assets like Alerrandro with 3 goals and 3 assists weaken the home side
概述

Internacional host Flamengo at Estadio Beira-Rio

Brazilian Serie A match on July 29, 2026, 10:30 PM

The hosts sit in 16th place with 21 points

Flamengo enter as favorites in 2nd place with 38 points

近期状态

Internacional show weak form with a WLLLL record

The hosts suffered four consecutive defeats recently

Flamengo present a stronger form line of DLWWD

The visitors recorded two wins and two draws in their last five matches

统计数据

Flamengo score an average of 1.9 goals per away game

The visitors concede only 0.9 goals on average on the road

Internacional score an average of 1.09 goals per home match

The historical average at Estadio Beira-Rio stands at 2.6 goals per game

历史交锋

There have been 5 head-to-head matches between these teams

Flamengo won 2 games while Internacional recorded 0 wins

Three direct encounters ended in a draw

The most recent duel ended in a 1:1 stalemate

关键球员

Johan Carbonero is Internacional's top scorer with 5 season goals

Alexandro Bernabei stands out as a goalscoring defender with 4 goals

Pedro leads Flamengo with an impressive 12 goals and 4 assists

门将

Matheus Cunha starts in goal for Internacional with 0 season appearances so far

Agustín Rossi guards the net for Flamengo and kept 8 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Home advantage gives Internacional an average of 1.09 goals scored per game

Flamengo exhibit away strength with 1.9 goals scored per match on average

The historical BTTS rate at Beira-Rio is high at 60%

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